But first, let's check out how where I screwed up on my 2012 predictions. For one, this blog is still around but it seems quieter. Mission half accomplished. On Afghanistan, I was half wrong as the Taliban is not noticeably weaker. The Dems do not have a slimmer majority in the Senate, thanks to the chuckleheads who nominated Mourdock and Akin. Assad isn't gone but he's on the ropes. On Egypt, I was half wrong. The Islamists in power aren't interested giving the Egyptian people more freedom. Kim Jong Un hasn't yet killed any South Koreans that I know of. Overall, not great but not bad.
On to 2013:
1. The economy will muddle along. I don't foresee a recession, but there won't be a lot of growth.
2. The debt ceiling will get raised after ugly rounds of vitriol.
3. A tax-and-spending deal will get struck after ugly rounds of vitriol.
4. We'll have another trillion dollar annual deficit.
5. Immigration reform and all other major pieces of legislation will go nowhere.
6. Given this, Obama will legislate by executive order. Stroke of the pen. Law of the land. Kinda cool.
6. Afghanistan will not improve.
7. Syria will worsen, which will stress Iraqi politics.
8. Greece will not improve.
9. No substantive changes to China's politics or economy.
10. No major agreement for Israel-Palestine.
11. Iran won't get its atomic bomb in 2013, but will edge closer.
12. I agree with this Foreign Policy article. Eight of the ten major conflicts in 2013 will involve the 21st century religion of violence on one or both sides.
13. The WAMI will still be around, thanks in part to the increasing Islamist political influence in the Middle East and Africa.
14. The Mariners will be north of .500, which isn't saying much since Angels will win it all.
15. You heard it here. The Seahawks will win the Superbowl.
That's all for now. I'll add as I see fit.