This entry is more round-up than thematic.
First, one of the foremost commenters on Syria is Joshua Landis. I may have linked to it earlier, but he makes a persuasive case that our getting involved militarily is a bad idea. I won't excerpt anything because it's worth a full read.
Nikolas Gvosdev explains why Syria is not Libya, which is another reason not to get involved militarily.
Aaron David Miller outlines the various nations involved with Syria and their divergent interests, especially between Russia and the U.S. This is another reason for the U.S. to not get involved militarily. Given Obama's innate uncourageousness and desire not to alienate too many in his own party, I'm guessing that he won't authorize strikes before the election, and probably not after. It would also be the right call. Michael Tomasky thinks otherwise, specifically that something kinetic will happen in 2013 because of "we have to do something" syndrome. I depart from his CW.
Obama should have said "nyet" to the choppers. This is not the kind of "reset" we should be having with the Russians.
Russia's foreign minister Sergei Lavrov dismissed Clinton's claims, saying his country's military contracts only concern anti-aircraft defense and that Russia was merely "completing the implementation of contracts that were signed and paid for a long time ago."
Lavrov adds that an arms embargo against Syria would give the poorly-armed rebel forces an unfair advantage.
Now, here's the twist you might not have expected: At the same time as the Obama administration is denouncing Russia for sending MI-17 attack helicopters to Syria, the Obama administration is buying MI-17 attack helicopters from the same Russian arms exporter, Rosboronexport.
Yes, that's right. The Obama administration is paying recalcitrant Russia $375 million for a posse of 21 MI-17's. In turn, the Obama administration will give these Russian MI-17's to Afghan government forces to fight the newest generation of rebels in the harsh terrain of that forsaken land.
If Obama was denouncing you publicly and paying you $375 million while promising more "flexibility" on missile defense in a second term, which message would you believe?
Oh, and one other thing: As part of its relentless suck-up to Russia (scroll down for more), the Obama administration bought the Russian MI-17's on a no-bid contract.
That means that the same Obama administration that keeps demanding Congress do something about creating jobs to help Obama's stagnant economy, ensured that American aircraft manufacturers could not even try for the contract that would provide jobs for American workers to build planes to go to the country where Americans have been fighting and dying for 10 years. Those jobs were exported to Russia, along with 375-million taxpayer dollars.
The U.S. State Department is saying that Russian arms are killing Syrians "on an hourly basis".
The UN presence and Kofi's plan are completely ineffectual. More here.
Amnesty International is charging that the Syrian army is "systematically killing civilians".
So, who is for military intervention? Regrettably, John McCain and Joe Lieberman, a smattering of Jews, and others.
The Economist notes that rebel strength is growing, which means a likely escalation to the conflict.
David Ignatius was in Lebanon and has concerns about the Syrian conflict spilling over into this strife-torn country. The spillover may happen. A beleaguered Assad means less Syrian support for Hezbollah, which is fine by me.



Big call to say Mr Obama is uncourageous
(#282266)in foreign policy, especially after the way he staked his political life in the Osama decision.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Obama_and_Biden_await_updates_on_bin_L...
no cathedral can be built if no community desires one
It really just makes no sense at all,
(#282267)more an expression of juvenile pique rather than reasoned analysis. Apparently, Obama's making the right call by not intervening in Syria, but the *wrong* call by not confronting the Russians over Syria (even though buying Russian hardware takes it off the market before Syria can get it).
M Aurelius was probably right.
On a tangent, what is courageous?
(#282268)Some random observations.
http://www.thebureauinvestigates.com/2012/02/04/obama-terror-drones-cia-...
So the US is targeting supposed Taliban with drones. Then targeting the funeral processions of the supposedly dead Taliban with more drones. And then targeting the funeral of the second funeral with a third strike...and so forth.
We stayed in the US with a family where a son is training pilots in the Iraqi Air Force in low level and ground attack - extremely dangerous training, naturally. His mother agonised all the time - but her point really was "now we have drones, do we really need piloted ground attack aircraft at all?" So drone tech is obviously going to be very popular in future - though maybe not "courageous". But they probably said the same about the infantry and cavalry charge, and "precision strikes".
no cathedral can be built if no community desires one
A Good Way to War....how Courageous are IED's?
(#282271)...I give full props to Obama for doing what Kerry would have done immediately had he won the election in 2004. It is, from a soldier's standpoint, a Good Way to War...
More interesting, more philosophically deep, is the idea that each war forces, literally compels developments, similar but also ideal in fashion to counter the enemies developments in their means of waging war...
NATO and the US has superiority in transport and armor? The enemy develops IED's that distinctly shift the advantage back in their favor and avoids their risk of losing, as they invariably do, in open combat.
The enemy now has the advantage in ambushes and still fully protects their fighters from harm, pretty much, cool for them...NATO and the US counters with an equally ingenious means of waging war that shifts the scales more back in their favor with the high in the sky, death from above program with pilotless drone strikes...(first perfected by the Israeli's in Gaza with stand off fighter planes and helicopters pre year 2000).
All of this is very, very organic....and natural.
Courage? Pifft...let me and my troops prevail, (and give me back the wonders of Willie Peter {white phosphorous} for soldiers in the field. I am still more than a little miffed that what I loved so much war-wise is now considered a war crime weapon); I'll leave courage to the dead men in the field or huddled in a mud hut...for all the good it does them dead.
Best Wishes, Traveller
I would mumble about killing of non-combatants and so forth
(#282281)random killing of all in the vicinity is OK? Why are we fighting this war, again?
no cathedral can be built if no community desires one
To keep it over there, send the word, send the word, over there
(#282290)It's all part of Obama's innate uncourageousness and desire not to alienate too many in his own party.
When US military personnel rain down 30 mm cannon fire on a journalist and his bodyguards, then tried to kill everyone in a makeshift ambulance that came to rescue the journalist, and the one guy that gets punished for it is then uncharged guy that was detained for helping expose the incident and others. Later US military personnel do similar things from drones in and around Pakistan, and in Yemen, it's because Obama is a coward lefty.
If not getting involved in Syria "before an election" has a bigger piece than his "uncourageousness" it's probably Axelrod et al are too concerned about endless droning of "Wag the Dog" chants from people they're scared of, and it's not the bloggers on FDL. And if more direct force is used in Syria, Axelrod et al would be concerned that Sean Hannity's et al. will cry about Obama trying to take credit for our hardworking US military.
Small scale "killing them over there, so they don't come over here" is the uncouragous way.
Real men turn it up to 11, give 'em the Shock and Awe.
"I’m to believe that North Korea is so dangerously unhinged that they would attack without warning – yet so meek and easily cowed that they will sit quietly and not retaliate when we start bombing them."
Major Kong
An airstrike on Pakistani soldiers...
(#282282)one thing that occurs to me is that this might not entirely have been an "accident," if those soldiers were in some way aiding the insurgency against NATO forces. This would be a horrendous error if that isn't true, but there've been plenty of stories suggesting that it at least *could* be true.
M Aurelius was probably right.
It's the same old thing
(#282278)if he gets involved he's reckless, if he doesn't get involved he's not courageous.
I blame it all on the Internet
His political life would've been worse if...
(#282272)...it came out that he had a legitimate shot at bin Laden and passed on the chance. Biden didn't help.
The right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures, shall not be violated, and no Warrants shall issue, but upon probable cause, supported by Oath or affirmation, and particula
Ah, so making a shrewd gamble sending a strike team
(#282274)into a foreign country, essentially an armed assault on a sovereign "ally," after a target that stood a good chance of not being there, greenlighting an operation whose brilliance and audacity is already the stuff of legend...that was a craven political calculation. Riiiiight.
M Aurelius was probably right.
Mishit on reply
(#282283)It must be that because you're replying to something I didn't say.
The right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures, shall not be violated, and no Warrants shall issue, but upon probable cause, supported by Oath or affirmation, and particula
Desire not to alienate too many in his party?
(#282285)Boy, he really flubbed that. I can hardly think of a single prominent leftie blogger who hasn't roundly condemned his shredding of civil rights in pursuit of the WOT. Greenwald most prominently, but even center lefties like Drum have joined in.
"I don't want us to descend into a nation of bloggers." - Steve Jobs