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Ahem...
(#296953)If this seems excessive, please feel free to ask me to cut it down.
Traveller
I say let your freak fly
(#296954)2 people were eating a clown
(#296960)One of them asked the other, "does this taste funny to you"?
"I’m to believe that North Korea is so dangerously unhinged that they would attack without warning – yet so meek and easily cowed that they will sit quietly and not retaliate when we start bombing them."
Major Kong
That is Funny...Horror-filled, but funny!...nt
(#296961)Traveller
Good piece on Argentinian debt
(#296970)I honestly can't begin to understand how a New York judge gets to tell the sovereign country of Argentina that it must default on all or none of its debt. I can't understand this partly because I'm old and stupid.
But here's Felix Salmon with a good discussion. He makes the point that the judge is essentially forcing Argentina into total default, since it is politically domestically impossible for their politicians to pay holdout foreign creditors.
Catchy, You Are Missing the REAL Fun of the Argintine Debt...
(#296971)...I wouldn't fun you, their training war ship was sized in Africa well before this NY Court Ruling:
Full Story at NYT here:
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/19/world/americas/seizure-of-argentine-sh...
The Libertad, a three-mast tall ship with 330 navy cadets and crew aboard, was seized at Tema, an industrial port east of Ghana’s capital, Accra, on Oct. 2 through a court order obtained by N.M.L. Capital, a holdout creditor from Argentina’s default a decade ago that says it is owed more than $370 million. The creditor is among a few remaining holdouts to refuse debt restructuring agreements in 2005 and 2010. It had tracked the vessel through the Libertad’s Web site.
Best Wishes, Traveller
Sheesh
(#296972)So this hedge fund isn't seriously trying to get paid on this debt. Seizing a navy ship isn't going to make it any more politically palatable that they get their 370 million.
It makes sense on Salmon's accounting though, that the hedge fund has placed even larger bets on Argentina defaulting. I wonder how the rest of the creditors feel about this one hedge fund holdout trying to force Argentina into a general default.
And as always, gambling on what governments choose to do about their debt isn't actually efficiently allocating resources and helping economies grow. It's just gambling and it should be taxed to high heaven.
I Don't Know, I Thought Elliott Was Being Big Hearted/Gererous
(#296974)N.M.L., a subsidiary of Elliott Capital, a New York-based hedge fund with $20 billion under management, offered to release the ship if Argentina paid a $20 million security. It also offered to bear the costs of flying the sailors home.
You know, the story doesn't say so, but a couple of weeks ago guns were drawn against port authorities trying to move the ship to a less busy berth.
Traveller
Looks like a big F You to me
(#296978)And I still don't understand how this NY judge has jurisdiction over Argentina's military assets.
That Was The Question, Waiver of Libertad as A Military Vessel?
(#296979)...and it was a Judge in Accra that Ruled:
A judge in Accra ruled last Friday against that defense, saying Argentina “has in clear terms waived the immunity attributed to the vessel” in the contract it signed with N.M.L.
We haven't seen the contract.
Law can be such fun.
Traveller
Ezra Klein: It's too complicated to assess Walmart's record
(#296976)On the one hand: Wal-Mart’s low wages are not really that low, at least when compared with the prevailing wages in the retail sector.
On the other: Wal-Mart has lowered prices for American workers — even those who don’t shop at Wal-Mart
So Wal-Mart wages aren't low compared to the low standards they've implemented.
Is this an appropriate place to insert: I'm just sayin' ?
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2012/11/24/has-wal-mart-...
Weird, the link didn't work until I hit enter in the address bar
(#296989)Sure Ezra didn't seem to think that through and do a good job, but do you think you can do better than Ezra?
"I’m to believe that North Korea is so dangerously unhinged that they would attack without warning – yet so meek and easily cowed that they will sit quietly and not retaliate when we start bombing them."
Major Kong
I'm trying to understand this...
(#297030)Are you misreading the quotes perhaps? The second quote refers to the prices workers pay for products at Walmart, not what they're paid to work at Walmart.
"I don't want us to descend into a nation of bloggers." - Steve Jobs
Yep, I misread it
(#297032).
Misread, or read between the lines?
(#297040)I don't think the Confidence Fairy or Wizard of Reduced Prices makes it likely the Wal-Mart doesn't have a huge hand in the depressed wages of suppliers and competitors.
"I’m to believe that North Korea is so dangerously unhinged that they would attack without warning – yet so meek and easily cowed that they will sit quietly and not retaliate when we start bombing them."
Major Kong
Extremely interesting conversation with Chomsky.
(#296985)On AI.
And great comments section.
literally anything can become right or wrong if the dominant class of the moment so wills it
This was off my radar
(#297000)thanks manish
Great article
(#297008)I think that bit was pretty funny.
It was twenty years ago today
(#297001)That Aphex Twin released his 1st album "Selected Ambient Works '85 - '92," a collection of ambient tracks he made mostly as a DJ-ing high school student. More than any other album, it spawned Intelligent Dance Music. "Pulsewidth" off the album:
I'm not an IDM connoisseur or
(#297003)I'm not an IDM connoisseur or anything but I love me some Boards of Canada. I don't think they really qualify as IDM, though.
Close enough
(#297004)Electronica fans are a little overboard in their nano-differentiations of genres. my favorite BOC:
It's a trap!!
(#297006)Probably not the best thing to have on for spring cleaning, it's a little black hole of a song. (in a good way)
"I’m to believe that North Korea is so dangerously unhinged that they would attack without warning – yet so meek and easily cowed that they will sit quietly and not retaliate when we start bombing them."
Major Kong
Republicans on raising taxes
(#297013)I'm reading about all the conciliatory stuff coming from Republicans, except:
* they're all Senators, none from the House, and nobody needs them for a deal
* they're specifically saying they won't raise rates, which is just the Mitt Romney plan of closing loopholes.
So ... I don't see any conciliation on this at all, and if we're lucky they'll agree to kick the can down the road.
It Was My Hope That All This Break the Pledge Talk Was...
(#297018)...was preparing the groundwork so that other Republicans would have cover when then voted to raise taxes.
However, Norquist today said:
(CNN) - Anti-tax activist Grover Norquist said Monday that his group, Americans for Tax Reform, would work to unseat Republicans who break their pledge to never vote for higher taxes.
So I think we are going over the cliff...which will be a good thing.
Traveller
Nope
(#297019)it's about giving the impression of being flexible while not actually being flexible. In other words, it's trying to win the media war before a shot is fired.
I blame it all on the Internet
So far I haven't seen any good D push back
(#297022)Republican Senators are playing "good cop" by gracefully agreeing to implement Mitt Romney's tax plan, while the GOP House is demanding to gut Obamacare.
To me this means we'll either get a terrible deal or none.
Yes, Democrats are horrible
(#297024)at setting the media terms of the debate. That's not always bad, as Republicans have a history of saying stupid things and shooting themselves in the foot. But developing and presenting a consistent message is not a Democratic strength, they tend to take a much more passive approach.
I blame it all on the Internet
I wish some D would point out that
(#297025)all Republicans, including House Republicans, decisively lost the popular vote.
And now Republicans are insisting on implementing the policies they ran on and lost - gutting Obamacare and Mitt Romney's loophole reform.
I guess pointing out disenfranchising gerrymandering is too anti-establishment for our beloved Ds.
Warren Buffett is the Only Person With Any Balls...!
(#297026)“I support President Obama’s proposal to eliminate the Bush tax cuts for high-income taxpayers. However, I prefer a cutoff point somewhat above $250,000 — maybe $500,000 or so,” Buffett, who has endorsed Obama, wrote in The Times.
He also suggested a minimum 30 percent tax on income between $1 million and $10 million, and a 35 percent tax on amount above that.
“A plain and simple rule like that will block the efforts of lobbyists, lawyers and contribution-hungry legislators to keep the ultrarich paying rates well below those incurred by people with income just a tiny fraction of ours,” Buffett wrote.
Mr. Buffett wrote this today in the WSJ and people are having vapors over it.
Easy stuff....I don't know why the Dems aren't seizing any Media high ground.
Traveller
Well, me and Warren Buffet. And to be honest
(#297027)I'm not familiar with Buffet's anatomy so I can only say for sure that I have balls.
In the medical community, death is known as Chuck Norris Syndrome.
That's an opening offer
(#297028)The Republican opening offer was to basically not raise taxes on the wealthy and to gut Obamacare.
I Don't Understand Your Pique
(#297029)This isn't a parliamentary republic. Those guys are representing their constituencies as they see fit, according to the rules in place. Are they supposed to roll over and give up using the tools at their disposal?
Republicans are trying to looks as if they're compromising
(#297033)I'm pointing out that they're not and that their opening offer is extremely aggressive.
After losing the popular vote, we're planning on gutting your signature, deficit-reducing piece of legislation in deficit reduction negotiations?
The equivalent for the Ds would be a Buffett-style, aggressive opening offer of a minimum tax of 50% for any income over a 500k.
You Keep Harping on the Pop. Vote
(#297044)But it's irrelevent.
The recent election didn't do a whole lot to change the balance of power, and the dynamic is pretty much the same as before. If the Democrats want to get anything done, they have to move it through the House.
Your scorched earth plan won't push GOP members toward capitulation -- it'll make it easier for them to say "no."
Honestly, I have no idea how Obama and Nat'l Dems break out of the logjam. Maybe they can't, same as they couldn't before the election. Quietly targeting a few GOP districts with some outreach (contact voters and funders, make some speeches in district, threaten the seat) would seem a better way to apply pressure than making a lot of noise about class warfare and the popular vote.
"it'll make it easier for them to say "no."
(#297045)Well, maybe, but I'd say my way's worth a try since we already know what doesn't work.
I also wonder why I'm being asked to pretend there's no such thing as political pressure in the court of public opinion and no bully pulpit from which to pressure a branch of Congress in the hands of the opposition.
Harping on Republicans decisively losing the popular vote was a suggested tool w/in that vein, tho it's probably better to have it pt.ed out by the Senate or House D leadership than the prez.
The pique is at Democrats
(#297035)they're letting Republicans control the discussion and present themselves as moderates. The Dems should be hammering every day that the Republicans want to protect the wealthy and penalize the middle class.
I blame it all on the Internet
HankP
(#297037)saying it better than I can since 2005.
And Then What?
(#297031)Those GOP members will still have their seats and a majority in Congress. Is tough talk about gerrymandering supposed to cow them into subservience?
It's not supposed to single-handedly solve the problem
(#297034)It's just a sign that Ds aren't playing hardball. My idea is that instead of golfing with john Boehner and then have him yank away the football Charlie Brown, is for Democrats to delegitamize their opposition and apply whatever pressure they can.
The House GOP is unpopular, it's not seen as sufficiently compromising, and the Ds should be attempting to make it pay a political price if they won't cozy up to a single idea that they didn't run on in the election they lost.
A political price
(#297038)Unfortunately, while there may, indeed be a price to be paid by the House GOP, they've set up a deferred "payment schedule" which won't come due til the next election season - another two years of time to obstruct, deflect and delay. and hope that by 2014, the voters and the media will be receptive to whatever excuse -making they bother to come up with.
It's actuallly worse than that
(#297043)because if previous elections are anything to go by, the electorate in 2014 will be significantly older, whiter and more rural than in 2012 - just like every other midterm election compared to Presidential elections. It's unlikely that they'll do as well as they did in 2010, but they'll almost certainly do better than they did this year. And the gerrymandering put in place in 2010 won't change until 2020 at the earliest. So unless the Dems or the GOP seriously screw up, that pattern won't change in the next few cycles.
I blame it all on the Internet
Ahem
(#297036)http://www.dailykos.com/comments/1164911/48549197#c2
He hands you a nickel, he hands you a dime.
(#297041)OFN, but yearly multi-millionaire with desk job apparently too ignorant to know there are still a boatload of Americans that work on their feet. Goldman-Sachs CEO is probably too busy feeling entitled to millions a year while be a de-facto looter?
Adam Davidson’s NYTimes “Skills Don’t Pay the Bills“ (bolded & underlined by me)
Paul Krugman adds
I don't know wtf a CEO is thinking if they don't seem to understand why skilled labor isn't applying to a job with temp service wages. IIRC that CEO isn't an anomaly, if I'm recalling that right, then there's virtually no way Obama/Obama's staff doesn't know that and he still trotted the "skills gap" line....
"I’m to believe that North Korea is so dangerously unhinged that they would attack without warning – yet so meek and easily cowed that they will sit quietly and not retaliate when we start bombing them."
Major Kong
Structural unemployment is one conservative idea among many
(#297049)adopted by Obama.
Unfortunately Bill Clinton also bought into this, and I'm reminded that nearly all the leading economic thinkers who are left of center have puzzlingly little influence on the Democratic party's positions. I can't think of a single prominent economist in a major University or think tank who leans left and who believes Obama's 4 trillion Hooverism goal is a good idea.
There's less consensus about Obama prioritizing a "free" trade pact in Asia. This isn't blatantly conservative, as these trade deals aren't opposed by every single left of center economist, but prominent left-leaning think tanks like CEPR and EPI argue that these trade pacts depress wages, increase outsourcing, and expand draconian IP laws.
It speaks volumes that Hooverism and the Trans-Pacific Partnership are Obama's most immediate 2nd term priorities. Jobs and the housing crisis don't appear to be on the radar.
To round out the centrist-to-conservative Obama activities I've been keeping track of, Secretary of Education Arne Duncan is busy this week pursuing his usual agenda of privatizing public schools and speaking at Jeb Bush's pro-charter education organization.
The only good news I've read since the re-election on matters economic is that the Obama admin. is taking some of its right wing agenda items off the table in the deficit negotiations, most significantly cuts to social security. And they've dismissed raising the eligibility age.
Overall, I'm waiting for some opportunity to support the president I just voted for but am wondering if I'll be given one.
The Onion and China
(#297056)People's Daily doesn't understand The Onion, congratulates Kim Jong-Un on being named Sexiest Man Alive (UPDATE)
I like updates 2 & 3
(#297067)All it took was less than 3 seconds, Chrome translated the Korean headline into:
"satirical media " Kim Jung-eun, this year, the best goat cheese . " ' The Onion"
"I’m to believe that North Korea is so dangerously unhinged that they would attack without warning – yet so meek and easily cowed that they will sit quietly and not retaliate when we start bombing them."
Major Kong
Anyone read nakedcapitalism.com?
(#297065)I've mostly glanced at it in the past, but just started reading it regularly about a month or so ago.
I imagine I've avoided it partly for the reasons some people here may cringe at some of my postings - it's a bit negative.
Also, I'm not actually competent to judge a lot of the posts on finance and though it feels a little bit cranky to me I'm also noticing they've got reputable support from people like Neil Boravsky and Bill Black (who I respect anyway). So I'm curious if other people have any impressions about this pretty hard left site.
For an example of a non-finance post, here's a pretty harsh takedown of Obamacare today.
It's a good site
(#297070)they cover important economic issues in detail and do a good job explaining all the stuff the regular press never does. But yeah, they seem to have caught the firebagger syndrome over the last year.
I blame it all on the Internet
I dunno, catchy. That piece seems short on detail, long on snark
(#297083)For instance, Yves claims there's a "giant loophole" in the PPACA's ban on rescissions, because insurers will still be able to rescind policies "in the case of fraud or intentional misrepresentation." And the bar for fraud, he huffs, per established case law, he handwaves, is remarkably low. That's all the detail he offers on this claim.
You find this stuff convincing? I don't. If you look at the actual text of the law on rescissions (pdf), and the federal guidelines issued so far, you'll find that the law imposes the following guidelines on retroactive rescissions: they are allowed only in cases where the insured person has committed fraud, or intentional misrepresentation of material fact. Also, the type of fraud or misrepresentation must be prohibited explicitly in the terms of coverage, and finally insurers are required to give 30 days' notice to the insured person before rescinding coverage. These requirements impose a new federal floor on rescissions: the law explicitly allows states to provide even more stringent guidelines.
Yves strongly implies that these guidelines are the same as current guidelines, but that is exactly incorrect. Under current federal case law, and most state laws (exceptions include Oklahoma), insurers can rescind coverage if the insured makes an accidental misrepresentation. They can rescind if the misrepresentation is made by someone other than the insured person (an agent, or a physician, etc.). It doesn't have to be material (i.e. doesn't have to potentially affect current coverage: just has to be inaccurate information above a signature). And finally, there's no requirement of timely notice. Insurers can yank your coverage in the middle of open heart surgery if they want to.
All of which is to say that when Yves writes
he's being highly disingenuous. True enough, insurers can under current law go to the trouble of proving criminal fraud and/or the intent to deceive to a court of law in order to rescind coverage. But the point is that right now they don't have to. Rescissions owing to inadvertent mistakes are all too common...and they involve a far lower standard of proof. Yves makes it sound like the law changes nothing, when in fact the changes are quite substantial.
Yves also complains that coverage rules are leaving people stuck with large bills, that his own insurer is playing new games to avoid claims, the "out of network problem"...in none of these complaints does he seem aware that the PPACA provisions that would regulate those practices haven't kicked in yet.
I can't find backup on the claim that MLRs averaged 95% across all policies back in the 1990's. If anyone can substantiate Wendell Potter's claim, I'd like to see the details behind it. I'd understood that 85% has been closer to the average for private policies for the past several decades.
M Aurelius was probably right.
Yves Smith is a Woman
(#297085)Her actual name is Susan Webber.
(Ehh, so I guess that means I read the blog...)
Ah, thanks.
(#297086)Hm, I guess I don't know the proper nom de blog etiquette here. If a female blogs under a male name, is she a he or is she a she?
M Aurelius was probably right.
If You Know She's a She
(#297088)well then it's "she", regardless of nom. If you don't know that she's a she, and appears to be a he, well then it's a "he."
Just like in real life.
Sanchez thought Wilfork would get blown off the ball and....
(#297068)Bad Astronomy and The Agitator have moved from their old links in the blogroll.
"I’m to believe that North Korea is so dangerously unhinged that they would attack without warning – yet so meek and easily cowed that they will sit quietly and not retaliate when we start bombing them."
Major Kong
You could provide the new links
(#297071)do I have to do everything around here?
I blame it all on the Internet
new links
(#297096)http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy.html
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/news/the-agitator
"I’m to believe that North Korea is so dangerously unhinged that they would attack without warning – yet so meek and easily cowed that they will sit quietly and not retaliate when we start bombing them."
Major Kong
Hostess management is to blame
(#297098)A pretty good defense of living in a fairly narrow world, in which blame is sometimes rightfully and narrowly apportioned, as opposed to the hippy "it's all so complex, fuzzy, and with shades of grey" relativistic world our conservative brethren choose to stumble around in.
This really belongs in Hank's Hostess thread...
(#297099)... but it makes a couple of good points:
First, Hiltzik points out what some commenters here (i.e., me) have noticed as one of the most glaring anomalies in Hostess' 2004-09 bankruptcy workthrough:
and secondly, puts a finger right on the fundamental problem:
Well, the LA Times link is still over there
(#297117)http://theforvm.org/diary/hankp/how-private-equity-killed-twinkie#commen...
"I’m to believe that North Korea is so dangerously unhinged that they would attack without warning – yet so meek and easily cowed that they will sit quietly and not retaliate when we start bombing them."
Major Kong
I just can't imagine any way to address the deficit
(#297153)except by cutting unemployment insurance, raising payroll taxes for workers, and/or cutting medicare and medicaid for seniors and the poor.
Now that Earth-based hockey has been canceled
(#297194)it's time to start looking elsewhere.