A mosque was bombed yesterday in Zahedan, Iran, with a count of 24 dead and 125 injured so far. A second bomb was successfully defused a few minutes after the first blast. The city is near the Pakistan/Afghanistan border, and one worries that the Iranians might use it as a justification to cross over the border(s) and engage in some counter-insurgency of their own. However, this is how it's being reported there now:
Jalal Sayah, deputy provincial governor of the Sistan-Baluchistan province that borders Pakistan and Afghanistan, said Friday that at least three people have been arrested with regards to the terrorist attacks.
"According to the information obtained they planted the bomb at the behest of the United States and its allies," Sayah said.
Emphasis mine. It's not hard to guess what kinds of encouragement might have been applied to obtain the information. Since apparently they were apprehended immediately, it's possible that they "helped" find the ticking second bomb as well.
Now the hypothetical part, which unfortunately is not totally implausible. Suppose as the interrogations are further enhanced, the suspects begin naming names. Suppose that some of the names are those of Americans currently in Iran (and there are quite a few). The authorities arrest them, take them to Evin, confiscate their cell phones, arrest the people they've called, and find that some of the numbers in memory are to government agencies in the US, and in some cases there are even calls to Israel. Ahmadinejad gets on TV and announces that a much larger plot has been thwarted through the quick action of the authorities.
Iran's election is in June. The moderate, Moussavi, says that Iran needs better relations with the US, and furthermore, the economy sucks. He points out that Ajad's grandstanding and adventurism has cost Iran respectability in the world. He also points out that the obvious mosque bombing suspects are Sunnis from the uncontrolled areas of Pakistan, not the US or Israel.
Moussavi wins in a landslide, so large that his boss Khamenei has to tread a bit carefully. During televised weekly prayers, Khamenei says that the suspects swept up in the mass arrests are very possibly spies plotting mayhem, even if they weren't directly connected to the bombing, but that he will let Moussavi decide how to balance the security of the nation versus mollycoddling terror suspects.
The judicial authorities, resentful over government interference in the recent case of the Iranian-American journalist, say that this time they will not get involved. It's all up to Moussavi.
So what should he do with the suspects:
(1a) Detain them for life without possibility of trial
(1b) Not for life, just until terrorism disappears from the world
(2) Create an alternative judicial system on his own authority, with coerced evidence allowed, and try them there
(3) Let them go
(4) Feel free to give your own suggestions
Keep in mind that while we know the probability of actual guilt is higher for Gitmo detainees than for Evin detainees, the average Iranian voter Moussavi needs to please might not think so.