Yesterday's Big Story

But it's probably not what you think. Sully has the sordid details. In brief? We're cutting and running out of Sadr City. Cuz they told us to. And we're leaving an American soldier behind while we do it.

But hey. At least John McCain jumped to the front of the story. And why not, given his years of noble support for our military. And the President didn't lag too far behind. After all, no one feels more deeply for the kids who are putting their lives on the line.

Oh, wait, sorry. Wrong story. They were talking about something else. We all were.

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This is why we lost in Iraq

(#6338)

We should have torn Sadr City down, brick by brick if necessary. But we capitulate instead.

This place is my vacation.

I Find It Hard to Believe

(#6344)

And maybe Ken or someone will have some information that puts this in a slightly less gruesome light. But at the moment? It couldn't look much worse.

“Two clichés make us laugh but a hundred clichés move us, because we sense dimly that the clichés are talking among themselves, celebrating a reunion." - Umberto Eco

End game?

(#6358)

The Times story added some nuance, but this story seems pretty big - I'm curious to hear the Administration's interpretation of events. The fact that CNN and WaPo are running with the Kerry meta-story and neither even mentions the withdrawal would, in a rational world, put a permanent end to the notion of a significantly liberal media.

To me, this smells like the beginnings of an end-game. We justify the withdrawal by pointing out that Maliki is the legitimate leader of a sovereign nation, and what choice do we have, and yada yada yada. Similar events will ensue, until Maliki asks us to leave Iraq entirely. We'll be so relieved, that we'll barely remember to ask Iran not to slaughter the Sunnis too badly on our way out the door. There'll be some kind of deal involving the Kurds as well, I suppose.

Oh - and Iran will promise not to put it's terrorist training camps too close to downtown Baghdad, at least when international observers are around.

"There are sneakers that cost more than an iPod." -Steve Jobs

Yep

(#6361)

I've said it before, and will say it again. A whole lotta folks are going to be stunned when Bush 'cuts and runs.' Not me.

“Two clichés make us laugh but a hundred clichés move us, because we sense dimly that the clichés are talking among themselves, celebrating a reunion." - Umberto Eco

I'm a liberal, and I was appalled they pulled out.

(#7323)

If the Imam's are calling the shots....where does that leave us?

Mind you, I feel more & more that there will be a full blown shooting war between the Sunni's & the Shia. Both groups refuse to leash their most extremist gunmen & killers.

I just don't want American GI's to be caught in the middle. If the two groups want to kill each other off, more power to them.

Gabriel's right IMO but we didn't and I don't see this

(#6392)

as that big a thing -- or as an indicator of too much.

It's sort of a damned if you do - damned if you don't thing. Maliki with all his faults is the head of the government, it is their country. Yeah, he's gotta pander to Moqtada but politicians do that.

We could have of course, told him to forget it -- but what kind of message would that send. That would have drawn as much or more criticism. I note that the Iraqi Commanders-- some Shia -- objected to Malikis order. I'm inclined to think that most pols would have done what he did and most foreign commanders in any country would've withdrawn under the circumstances.

Based on all I can glean, which isn't that much, the reporting is spotty and I haven't heard anything on it from a few folks I know who are there, it was sort of a non-choice and I think that most any US Ambassador / Commander would've done the same thing.

That's one of the recurring problesm fighting a counterinsurgency (though this is now more than that) in someone eles's country; you have to pay more than lip service to their independence.

As for "abandoning" the captured Soldier, that's silly partisan hype or ignorance or both. 15,000 troops there or a small team looking for him -- which you can be sure will continue -- amount to the same thing, he hasn't been abandoned. I'd even suggest that militarily and practically the 15K troops are more harm than benefit.

The hunt goes on.

(#6417)

Just right

(#6476)

and that's just the problem. Of course we had to do this, as we'll have to do nearly anything Maliki orders from now on. With the militias more or less backing him up, we have less and less to threaten or bribe him with. It was always bound to turn out like this because - as you said - it's one of the 'problems fighting a counterinsurgency in someone else's country'. It's just made a lot more ominous when that 'someone else' is busy aligning themselves with your enemy.

As for "abandoning" the captured soldier - I think you're wrong. The problem isn't that we lost a desirable tactic - the problem is that we were forced off our chosen tactic by the very Iraqis who ought to be supporting us. I don't think it's much of a stretch to imagine this stirring up some resentment from the folks on the ground in Iraq. It's certainly stirred up a bit of resentment in me. I appreciate that Maliki needs to establish his independence, but he doesn't have to do it by appeasing Iran.

"There are sneakers that cost more than an iPod." -Steve Jobs

Why is it a problem? We can pressure Maliki whenever we

(#6488)

wish to in dozens of ways. We did what he wanted this time to give him political cred and because we wanted to pull the troops back -- both those things I'd be more than willing to bet on. Since Al Deraa had been missed on two raids, it's highlt likley that he moved out and we knew it. Makes no sense to keep a block in place if what you want isn't there.

Al Deraa has an entourage and links; the captured Soldier does not. He'll be found through intel work and not by having thousands of Americans blundering around looking for the proverbial needle whent they can't speak or recognize hay...

We really have more and more to threaten Maliki with -- not least, to include leaving. He may talk that but you can bet he doesn't want it; not with Iran on one side and Iran-friendly Syria on the other and a greedy Saudi Arabia sitting down south. Where do you think his government gets its money? Woeful misreading on your part, I think.

As for the captured Soldier, you're very wrong. That block was our chosen tactic to get Al Deraa, not to get a kid that was almost certainly hidden somewhere. No way any thinking Commander -- and both Casey and Chiarelli are that -- would deploy that many troops to get one Soldier back. Just think about it.

If you think it will stir up any resentment in the troops, other than the 10% of always present malcontents and whiners, I think you're very badly mistaken. The kids know what's up even if most of their nominally intellectual superiors in the MSM do not.

Nor do I see Maliki appeasing Iran; he's appeasing his fellow Shia -- who vote. He may also be horse trading a bit with Sadr but I wouldn't wager on that. I'm unsure how you get to the point where Maliki is aligning himself with our enemy (nor for that matter am I all that sure Iran is our enemy in other than generic terms).

Nor can I understand why it would stir up any resentment in you. I do understand that your resentment is caused by what you think -- and what the always clueless MSM says -- might have happened but given what almost certainly actually happened, you and they are way off base. So is Sullivan, nothing unusual in that...

Maliki's Motives

(#6537)

Why we had the block in place isn't nearly as important as why people think we had the block in place, and people will draw their own conclusions from the fact that we imposed the blockade immediately following the kidnapping and the fact that we imposed it around Sadr city, where the soldier is rumored to be held. The fact that military spokesmen called Al Deraa 'a second motive' will reinforce that belief. The MSM, you'll note, has nothing to do with any of this.

As to the other bit, I think Maliki's motivations have become increasingly murky as the tension between he and the U.S. have increased over the last three weeks. Dawa has moved closer to SCIRI with the recent appointments, and I can think of a few nations who'll be happy to step up with a little funding for a friendly neighbor. It's optimistic that you think it's all just a play for votes, but I don't think so - I think Maliki's making plans for a future that doesn't involve the United States. He, like most other Iraqis, seems to feel precious little interest in what a continuing relationship with the U.S. could get them. It may have been entirely predictable, but I resent it anyway.

"There are sneakers that cost more than an iPod." -Steve Jobs

To you and to some "why people think" may be important,

(#6632)

to the Army, rightly or wrongly it's borderline irrelevant what people think. That's one reason the Army does such a poor job of PR, they don't consider that effect and the poor spokesguys have to go out and tap dance and make stuff up on the fly. Most of 'em aren't that quick.

I acknowledge the MSM did not foster that story. My MSM complaint is that they are too clueless about things to pick up on the real reason many things are done. They just take the preprinted scoop sheet and paraphrase it to write their articles. To even think that 15,000 troops would be deployed to blockade a teeming mass like Sadr City to get one guy back is just really not at well thought out. there's a lot more to that than the missing troopie -- probably more to it than Al Deraa. Whatever it was may have been accomplished or the moment may have passed. Given the fact that the Iraqi Army objected to the PMs order, I suspect that there was more to it all than is apparent.

Everything in the ME is murky, there are always wheels inside of wheels and a lot of backdoor and under the table dealing. One reason I'm reasonably optimistic is that Pete Chiarelli is in Baghdad now and the Khalilzad is the Ambassador now. Those two can be as murky as Maliki and Co.

In the short term our continued presence in country (but as out of sight as possible) is to Iraq's advantage. Maliki will not upset that for a while. He will haggle to get the best deal for himself and Iraq and he will do well -- haggling over there is a national sport. That doesn't mean we won't get most of what we want; we aren't as bad at under the table stuff as many think...

Folks in the ME nurse grudges and feuds and they are very xenophobic -- but they are also very pragmatic -- and patient. That combination means that Maliki wants the US out of Iraq, he hates us for embarassing his country, he hates us for being infidels, he hates us because he has to put up with us -- but he will go along with us as long as it is in (first) his interest and (second) that of Iraq (as he sees Iraq -- probably not the way Bush or you or I would envision). He'll play along to get the max advantage (and $$$) from us and then dump us and / or try to hurt us when he can.

No sense in resenting that, he's doing what he was raised to do. That's like resenting the Grizzly that kills your dog on a camping trip; pointless.

Pointless to you

(#6698)

To me, the prospect of devoting my life to tracking down that cursed grizzly bear and avenging poor, innocent Max by killing it with nothing but my bare hands, a toothpick and a melon baller sounds pretty worthwhile.

As to the rest of it, I more or less agree.

"There are sneakers that cost more than an iPod." -Steve Jobs

Have you ever seen a grizzly bear

(#6718)

cuz if you have not, you might want to rethink that life long objective.

““I am sick and tired of people who say that if you debate and disagree with this administration, somehow you’re not patriotic. We need to stand up and say we’re Americans, and we have the right to debate and disagree with any administration!”” –H

All right

(#6792)

I just googled up some grizzly bear pictures, and it turns out they're pretty big. Who knew?

"There are sneakers that cost more than an iPod." -Steve Jobs

Just

(#6845)

remember:

Make yourself look big, wave your arms

Hold your ground, don't run

Do not turn your back on him always face him and slowly retreat

If he charges, the first charge will be a warning and he'll veer off at the last second

So face him, hold your ground and as all 1500 pounds of seething, pulsating fury comes at you at more than 30 miles an hour it is important that you SHOW NO FEAR!!!!

I had discovered a great secret. That everyone loves themselves more than they love anybody else. And if I wanted them to love me, I better be like THEM!... Ken Nordine

And if it works? You'll have added 30 full seconds

(#6846)

to your lifespan before you become the ursine equivalent of a tv dinner.

I'm trying to make the best out of a bad situation. I don't need to hear crap from a bunch of hippie freaks living in denial! Screw you guys, I'm going home!

Not necessarily!

(#6908)

It will be here that sebastien will either prove himself to be an expert or a mere novice at the use of the melonballer!

I had discovered a great secret. That everyone loves themselves more than they love anybody else. And if I wanted them to love me, I better be like THEM!... Ken Nordine

Indeed

(#6933)

The key to mastery of the melon baller is, unsurprisingly, practice, practice, practice. Start small - no one masters the melon baller overnight. Pick up a citrus zester, or possibly a tea strainer, and work your way up. Some folks consider melon ballers to be a bit out of vogue, like sporks, or those cute radish roses you used to find on your plate in fine restaurants, but they're wrong - as long as you're willing to pay for quality and clean it regularly, the baller retains a place of honor on a warrior's utility belt. And remember - always keep the baller pointed in a safe direction until you're actually ready to use it.

"There are sneakers that cost more than an iPod." -Steve Jobs

A REAL man would use a grizzlyballer. nt

(#6935)
HankP's picture

I blame it all on the Internet

Reminds me of a scene

(#6946)

from the underrated Super Troopers, which I will not describe here out of consideration for the sensibilities of our resident family-values Conservatives.

"There are sneakers that cost more than an iPod." -Steve Jobs

Important safety tip

(#6943)
aireachail's picture

re Grizzly bears: They won't eat something that's dead. Black bears will. So you can play dead and a Grizzly will leave you alone, whereas a Black bear will dig right in.

Of course; remembering these niceties while beneath a snarling, 1500lb wild animal is a nice trick.

On top of that, there's the added difficulty that I might have these behaviours reversed!

But please don't let any of this keep you kids outta the woods :-)

Why does Ken White hate the troops?

(#6913)

"Most of 'em aren't that quick."

Shocking, just shocking. Kerry's liberal crazy beams have infected our very own KW!

I should work for the VRWC, I've got this taking lines out of context thing down cold!

Or you could post on DU or Kos or work for Rahm :)

(#7072)

Haystack...

(#6561)

I don't think a lot of people appreciate just how big Sadr City is.

So, for those people, and agreeing with Ken's comment, let me tell you: It's BIG. And hostile. It is no place to find a single soldier at random. You need the intelligence.

I am not a pessimist. I am an incompetent optimist.

Besides me, how many of you

(#6485)

thought that Muqtada al-Sadr should have been assassinated years ago? I know the military had "shoot-to-kill" orders out on him at one point, but he repeatedly appeared outdoors on TV, meaning he could have been hit with a sniper rifle (Barrett Light .50, maybe?). I assumed that whoever decides these things thought it would be bad for the guy to be shot while he was giving a speech or walking around with a bunch of his disciples, but how much worse could that have been than what we're facing now?

I used to be with it, but then they changed what it was. Now what I'm with isn't it, and what's it seems scary and weird. It'll happen to you.—Abraham Simpson

Not assassinated, we really don't do that but he should've

(#6490)

been arrested and turned over to the Iraqis where he might've been killed while trying to escape... :)

Or committed suicide

(#6492)

by shooting himself in the back six times with a rifle.

I hear he's very determined.

Will crush dissent for food

That could happen, you know how these obsessive-

(#6494)

compulsive dudes are...

In a Different World, While We Still Had The Ability To Shape

(#6502)


...events on the ground, I wrote volumes on the historical efficacy of assassination and how this specifically should be applied to Al Sadr, and the dismantling of his Sadar Birgades and the Malhdi army.

It seems still interesting to me to read how, now that Falajuah was finally dealt with, that that city has become one of the few safe refuges for citizens of Bagdad.

There was a time, Gentlemen, but that time has passed...there is a new reality on the ground.

There are other things to be done, but assassination of Al Sadr is now off the table.

Best Wishes,

Traveller

Oh, I'm on your side, unfortunately, the world has now gotten

(#6519)

too civilized for that.

Or, at least, some like to think it has... :)

Assassinated? Why? Wasn't there a warrant

(#6511)

for his arrest? Wasn't Sadr locked inside a mosque and prepared for "martyrdom" until we backed off?

Anyone know the legal resolution of that murder warrant that was outstanding against Sadr? Was it just forgotten about?

The proper balance between defense and welfare are the tectonic plates that lie beneath our political discourse.

Oh, We Had Options, Yes There Was a Warrent For His Arrest....

(#6515)

...but as noted, Al Sadr has gone from an expendable peripheral player to a major force in Iraq.

This was predicable and preventable...as noted by moi several years ago.

Sigh.

Best Wishes,

Traveller

Apparently. We were gonna arrest him and

(#6520)

apparently let Allawi talk us out of it. Probably more to it but who knows what the real story happens to be...

Poor choice of words

(#6526)

but doesn't this mean we could have captured him or shot him in the (likely) event he tried to evade arrest?

OTOH, maybe he's too fond of his own hide to risk it. Wasn't he supposedly hiding behind the lines during the diege of Sadr City, and later faked an injury?

I used to be with it, but then they changed what it was. Now what I'm with isn't it, and what's it seems scary and weird. It'll happen to you.—Abraham Simpson

Maybe

(#6543)

It was a tough call, though. We didn't want to martyr him when sentiments were already inflamed and he wasn't going to go quietly, not from holed up inside the holiest of holies as he was.

That was, and remains, a legitimate concern. There wasn't a good answer.

Some kind of deal got cut behind the scenes at that point. The upshot seem to be that he gave up the imam ali shrine and his insurrection in exchange for a seat at the political table.

I can see how razing Sadr City would be emotionally satisfying,

(#6539)

but I can't see how it would win Iraq for us.

Nothing emotional about it, pure logic - but, as said, that

(#6627)

time is past. Had it been done early in 2003, it would've sent a powerful message. The inhabitants could've been resettled and ne build could've been totallu religious;y and ethnically integrated lessening the ghetto effect.

By Fall of '03 it was too late. Now it's way too later and would correctly be seen as pure barbarism. I doubt it would even be emotionally satisfying.

Moral of that story is you can't make war in a "Play nice" mode. Which we invariablt try to do -- and equally invariably end up causing more rather than fewer casualties...

No, the moral is

(#6630)
HankP's picture

that you don't start a voluntary and unnecessary "preventative" war without planning it out ahead of time, and listening to all points of view. Bush railroaded this through, politicized it, and screwed it up. He's the commander in chief, remember? He doesn't get a free pass by blaming his staff, that's the mark of a coward and an incompetent. I'm guessing he'll be happy to be considered "one of" the worst presidents instead of the worst.

I blame it all on the Internet

No, the moral is that any war.....

(#6631)
Bernard Guerrero's picture

.....where you actually intend to hold territory will involve heavy casualties to both military and civilian human beings, and that you should quickly inflict them in a purposeful and massive fashion in all cases, allowing exceptions only where the populace behaves itself. Of course, we've known that since the "March to the Sea".....

Which is to say that a choice war of "liberation"

(#6642)

...from a local regime is inherently idiotic.

"In the very long run, we are all dead." -- John Maynard Keynes, 1st Baron Keynes

Why?

(#6648)

Because the superiority of being 'liberated'

(#7181)

depends on not being 'brutalized.'

If we're kicking out someone who just engineered a coup, but there's an entire civil society ready to pick up the pieces, that's one thing, but pretending that we can invade and pacify a country, then somehow turn it over to civilian authorities, all without the kind of brutality which completely destroys any legitimacy our occupation may have had, is beyond absurd.

The reason our occupations of Germany and Japan were successful is because they followed a brutal war in which we were attacked and a lot of our people were killed (as well as a lot of theirs), so we had every right to occupy their land, and because we actually defeated the entire nation in wartime, not an illegitimate regime. The first factor gave us the moral authority for harsh measures. The second gave us the moral authority to occupy the nation until we were satisfied it could run itself. Neither of these apply to Iraq.

This puts aside, of course, the fact that you don't trust a man who is intent on dismantling American democracy (Welcome to the Decidership!) in charge of installing Iraqi democracy, or the fact that Iraq's borders are just as artificial now as they were in 1918, or the existence of "Mountain Turks," or any number of other factors which made the Iraq War in particular so obviously stupid. The whole idea was stupid, the specific place we chose to attempt to implement it was stupid, and the current obsession with trying to prove that the folks who were right about it in the first place are smelly hippies is also stupid. It's a Grand Unified Theory of Stupid, and it's why we shouldn't allow the current Republican leadership -- and the professional pundit class -- near heavy machinery, much less the levers of power.

"In the very long run, we are all dead." -- John Maynard Keynes, 1st Baron Keynes

I'm totally unsure how being liberated provides or

(#7213)

promotes superiority...

I don't think your first paragraph is very coherent or very logical, one or the other, maybe both. I certainly don't agree with its premise and do not see how brutality is necessarily mandated in such a situation.

I agree with most of your second paragraph but would emphasize that the total defeat and unconditional surrender of both nations was far more responsible for ther relative passivity than was our "right" to occupy them because they attacked (in one case) or declared war on us first (in the other case). Morals are in the eye of the beholder and yours are not everyones...

Your last paragraph is pure political blather and I'd only suggest that "the folks who were right about it in the first place" is a grouping tha exists in your mind; others may disagree. Not to mention that all war is stupid, so you're sort of redundant...

Stick to what you know. The first sentence is your opinion

(#6647)

and you are absolutely entitled to that.

The second sentence is partly true; the part about Bush screwing it up is not totally correct -- the Commanders had the responidiblity to execute his orders or to tell him they could not do that. They obviously elected to tell him they could and then they screwed up parts of it.

Yes, I remember. I don't think he's blaming his staff, I certainly have not heard him do so -- in fact, I seem to recal him getting a lot flak for doing just that; backing them.

OTOH, I -- not Bush -- am blaming his Commanders for not doing their jobs properly -- I'm also defending their failure by pointing out that it was institutional, not personal. I wouldn't think that should be a terribly difficult concept to understand but apparently it is.

Thus the rest of that third sentence is totally incorrect and an egregious and unwarranted slam on your part.

He'll go in the mediocre category along with his Dad, Kennedy, Bill and Gerald Ford. Better than Carter, Johnson and Nixon; not as good as Truman, Eisenhower or Reagan.

Your guesses and your assumptions apopear to be off tonight...

Bush only listened

(#6654)
HankP's picture

to what he wanted to hear, both from the military and the intelligence agencies. He pushed it, he forced the issue, he bears the ultimate responsibility for what happens.

I blame it all on the Internet

I'm not disputing the ultimate responsibility point and I

(#6657)

don't think he does either.

Neither you or I know whether he was told all the problems or not. You assume he was and elected to disregard that. I know the system and am willing to bet big money the boss was told what the briefers thought he wanted to hear.

No, I think you are.

(#6666)

You've been fairly consistent in placing blame in the Pentagon and away from bush. You've done this in a number of ways, some more compelling than others.

But you've definitely done it. You've definitely attempted to atenuate bush's ultimate responsibility.

On the whole, I'm not buying. Or, rather, I think responsibility is solidly in the executive branch, but the center of it may lie in a secure undisclosed location inhabited by a man who can't smile right, if at all.

I am not a pessimist. I am an incompetent optimist.

attempted to atenuate bush's ultimate responsibility, naw

(#6670)

but what Ken has done is discuss the failures of the senior military (er the Army) leadership in this conflict.

The mixing of diplomacy and armed conflict was Bush's choice (Moogie City still standing) other strategic and tactical efforts would reflect on the leadership of the Army.

““I am sick and tired of people who say that if you debate and disagree with this administration, somehow you’re not patriotic. We need to stand up and say we’re Americans, and we have the right to debate and disagree with any administration!”” –H

Strategic and tactical...

(#6681)

...sure.

But infrastructure reconstruction and economic and social policy, as well as plain old politics and contracting pracitces for the civilian sector, etc., etc.?

That's not the Army's job. The admin basically handed that over to their friends, and it worked like anybody could expect it to work. They made a lot of money, Iraq got way too little reconstruction work and, worse still, it wasn't used strategically as a locus of consolidation for Iraqi society.

Priorities were set by corporate interests. Iraq has IP legislation now which protects agribusiness patents. Think about that. This is absurd. Do you think Monsanto is going to send some guy to sample DNA in a place like Iraq? What kind of priority scheme does this reflect? We are talking about a country lacking the most elemental services, such as 24-hour electric power or basic security for its citizens. These and many other initiatives show a complete disconnect from reality on the ground. And the Army had nothing to do with IP patents or any of that.

This was a carpetbagger administration. Iraquis may not have been able to do much about it, but they could sure recognize a scam when they saw one.

I am not a pessimist. I am an incompetent optimist.

That's not the Army's job

(#6697)

It certainly has been the Army's job in the past and the Army's effort proved ultimately to be very successful (See post war Germany and Japan for further details).

Bush pursued a strategy rolled out by State. The strategy relied upon an effort to engage the people of Iraq in a democracy. It certainly didn't factor, well in my opinion, the destructive role Iraq's neighbors would play in trying to curtail that effort. A federalized effort would have proven to be more succsssful given the cultural construct of the country (walking around money to the various clans and the tribes) but it memory serves Sistani wasn't in favor of that structure.

““I am sick and tired of people who say that if you debate and disagree with this administration, somehow you’re not patriotic. We need to stand up and say we’re Americans, and we have the right to debate and disagree with any administration!”” –H

Bull

(#7067)

See post war Germany and Japan for further details

What, the Army ran the Marshall Plan?

Fraid not. It was a State Department creation. Marshall was Secretary of State, and State officials such as Kennan created the plan. It was actually implemented by a cadre of economists, bankers, tecnocrats and so forth.

Bush pursued a strategy rolled out by State.

Nonsense. State was deliberately locked out of it and had marginal post facto participation. Bush pursued no strategy whatsoever. Iraqis were supposed to flood the streets and be happy, and that would be it.

I am not a pessimist. I am an incompetent optimist.

The Marshall Plan was rolled out how many years after the end

(#7111)

of WWII? More importantly the Marshall Plan pertained to Europe (well Western Europe ultimately) and not solely to Germany. The Alliierter Kontrollrat is what governed post war Germany and it collapsed in 1948, the separation of Germany into two entities.

The initial members of the Alliierter Kontrollrat were as follows:

1.Marshal Georgy Zhukov;
2 Field Marshal Bernard Montgomery;
3.General Dwight Eisenhower; and
4.General Jean Joseph-Marie Gabriel Lattre de Tassigny

and of course their military staffs.

And I missed your retort with respect to Japan, er MacArthur's Japanese Constitution. And Japan had their own Allied Control Council which was dominated by MacArthur and MacArthur's staff.

With respect to Iraq, the CPA comforms to the parameters established under UN Resolution 1483 and it was headed by a long time State Department staffer, although I will note the head of the CPA reported to the President through DoD and was under DoD's budget. Net net at the end of the day, State wasn't carved out, although their plan to hand Iraq to the UN was.

More on the Marshall Plan because confussion is never your friend. The Marshall Plan was the extension of U.S. funds to Western Europe to purchase American goods. The Marshall Plan competed with the Morgenthau Plan, were Germany would fund the reconstruction of Europe. The first beneficiaries of the Marshall Plan were Greece and Turkey to aid in their consolidation democratic forces over the communists.

““I am sick and tired of people who say that if you debate and disagree with this administration, somehow you’re not patriotic. We need to stand up and say we’re Americans, and we have the right to debate and disagree with any administration!”” –H

I LOVE that the Marshall Plan has made it to this site

(#7116)

But I'm less crazy about "because confussion [sic] is your friend." C'mon, Timothy. Keep it clean, real, and gentlemanly!!

Thanks.

“Two clichés make us laugh but a hundred clichés move us, because we sense dimly that the clichés are talking among themselves, celebrating a reunion." - Umberto Eco

If you care to track back, I didn't bring it up-nt

(#7118)

TTT

““I am sick and tired of people who say that if you debate and disagree with this administration, somehow you’re not patriotic. We need to stand up and say we’re Americans, and we have the right to debate and disagree with any administration!”” –H

Bull? Sitting Bull? Red Bull? Papal Bull? - Ah, that's it

(#7127)

you're applauidng Tomsyl's use of that. Good man.

Er, Timmy was talking about occupation, not the Marshall Plan.

Apparently you missed the fact the Rumsfeld's choice to run Iraq post attack was MG (Retired) Jay Garner; he was rapidly replaced by Bremer who was from -- guess where...

As to your last paragrpah, do you KNOW that or just want to believe that?

You can think all the strange things you wish. However,

(#6678)

I agree I am trying to attenuate Bush's responsibliity -- in that I'm saying blame Bush for the errors that are his; you can also blame him for those that are Rumsfeld's since he hired the guy. We can fail to elect Bush for a third term and that'll teach him...

Also, I don't believe I've "done this in a number of ways," I believe I've been pretty consistent; compelling is in the mind of the reader.

What you're missing is that I'm also saying do NOT blame Bush or Rumsfeld for the flaws of the Army; put that blame where it belongs and insure the Army fixes the problems.

That in no way relieves Bush of his ultimate responsiblity.

Proper assignment of fault to correctly affix responsibility for rectification does not equate to migration of ultimate responsibility, just in case you missed that. Whether you "buy" that or not is not a matter of concern.

I do know

(#6671)
HankP's picture

that he's been giving all kinds of awards to people who screwed up in a big way. That doesn't indicate any kind of accurate understanding to me.

I blame it all on the Internet

Thast's the way your government operates, screw up

(#6675)

and move up -- or get an undeserved award and a cheap gold watch as you leave. Been that way for years, unlikely to change.

Saw the same thing at Hilton Hotels and at Hughes Aircraft in brief civilian career.

So maybe it's the American way... :)

And I always thought

(#6679)
HankP's picture

that Catch-22 was a novel, not a manual. Learn something new every day, I guess.

I blame it all on the Internet

Heh. I wish... Not sure it's a US government or even

(#6683)

an American thing. The Koreans and the Viet Namese do it also, as do the Iranians and the Brits in my observation. Combination of old boy networks and "taking care of the side" attitudes being pretty ingrained in humankind I expect.

Bad in many respects, very sad in some -- but without it, we wouldn't have the Peter Principle... :)

I can remember one incident when a General swore no decoration for a retiring guy who had transgressed. In the event, the award came down from on high; General said "I won't present it, get someone else to do it." Somehow he got stuck presenting the award a week or so later and he gave a really nice speech, one of his better ones...

Thought he wanted to hear?

(#6785)

Sure, that's why if he's president (this is the most important job in the world, after all), he should've been able to cut through the BS.

Every report indicates that the military was given a mission (take out Saddam) which they prepared for and executed perfectly. It's not their job to figure out what happens after... it's their job to be given some kind of parameters for what happens afterwards and look for those. The military hadn't been in the nation building business for decades before this started, and Bush apparently thought that they'd just "deal with it as it came up"?

There was no planning at the top for the aftermath. Rumsfeld and Cheney were obsessed with marginalizing state, and Bush went along merrily without exerting any pressure from the top to make sure that there was a plan for the day after Saddam fell. Zero. Plan. Whatsoever. The military doesn't set those priorities and hasn't since WWII (and they mostly followed orders then). They execute plans and priorities developed by the executive branch in concert with State and CIA.

See the response to Trickster above, same thiung applies

(#7069)

Your first paragraph is correct at first then fails. True, the military had not been in the nation building business for decades. The fact that they deliberately avoided even thinking about it much less training for it which they could have and should have done, we'll leave aside. They had an obligation to tell Rumsfeld and Bush -- we do know Franks had several meetings with him -- that they had not done this and had not trained for it.

What we don't know is whether that was done or not; nor do we know if the initial plan was a short term, in and quickly out, sort of regime change that got captured by someone or some thing and changed.

That there was no planning at the top is apparently correct. what we don't know was why. That they thought no long term planning was required doesn't pass the common sense for either the WH or DoD and the Army (who as, the DoD Executive Agent would have done the actual planning) -- something happened and we don't know what.

Your second paragraph is sort of correct; The Prez sets the Priorities, no question but the Armed forces do NOT execute plans developed by the executive branch; the Armed Forces develop and execute plans as directed by the executive branch. Was there a post attack plan? sources vary; in any event, if there was one, it either wasn't very good or it wasn't followed. Again we don't know why.

At least, I don't know for sure if there was no post attack plan or if there was one, why that plan was not followed. Do you?

Sorry, got to this late

(#7702)

And if you actually see this, you're entirely too reasonable, I don't disagree with anything you say... you cleared up a couple things that I missed and a couple that were just sloppy writing on my part.

But you wind up in the exact same place that I do... what on earth were they thinking? As far as a post attack plan, Cobra II and whatever other sources have come to light indicate a negligent (and I don't use that word lightly) level of postwar planning.. you probably know more Generals by name than I do (zero, if you're counting) so I can't back any of this up myself... but I was a senior in college and immediately out of college when these decisions were being made, and just from what was public I was slapping my forehead. Like you said above, it doesn't pass the common sense test that they actually thought this little about it, but from all evidence...

I don't know what the story is. I was in the Army long

(#7704)

enough to say that the post attack phase was atypical. I know that several exercises run in the 90s pointed to just such problems -- just saw this tonight LINK -- and aside from the exercises, the Army War College did a study and came to the same conclusions. It's alleged that Feith and his crew of idiots trashed the Army plan and the War College study and came up with their own ideas -- if so that's a major lick on Rumsfeld for letting that happen. It also is a lick on the Chairman and the JCS for allowing it to occur. Newbold, the Marine LTG who was the J3 said he protested -- but he didn't go public with that until after he retired. Maybe he should've been more forceful earlier...

There's an old service saying about "falling on my sword" to show total resistance; seems if the total lack of planning is true, someone in uniform probably needed to do that.

The common theory in the services among those not privy to what actually went on is that Wolfotwits drove the train. He was upset in 91 when Bush 41 and Scowcroft stopped Desert Storm without toppling Saddam and that's why he weaseled his way back into DoD with Cheney's help. Those who are privy aren't talking.

Hard to say. Some of the screwups were training shortfalls on the part of the Army, those affected everyone from General to Private and most would've occurred even with a good plan. Others were due to someone in DoD screwing with the force list. However there's more to it than the force list and inadequate training. The theory espoused by some that the original plan was not to stay but circumstances changed that -- intelligence, politically or militarily driven not known -- is possible...

Oh well, no telling at this point. It will come out, always does...

According to the authors of 'Hubris'

(#7719)

During General Franks 'meet and greet' victory tour of Iraq he told the troops to be ready to rotate home within a month as the intention was to leave only one division+ perhaps 30,000 in country to help the Iraqis transition to a new government.

If confirmed, that's a pretty telling revalation of the state of play in immediate post invasion Iraq. Those in charge of policy; the WH, DOD and the Army appear to have been completely blindsided by the insurgency and have been playing catch-up ever since.

"Something I think most liberals don't understand is exactly how stupid many conservative leaders are." - Matt Yglesias

That's one explantion. Another - and more likely - option

(#7745)

is that something changed the game.

Makes a lot more sense, particularly as the insurgency didn't really get rolling until early summer when it was laready apparent we were staying...

We don't know; we will someday. Until then, all is idle speculation that cannot be validated either way and which will solve nothing.

Occams razor

(#7764)

I prefer not to fantasise about what might be based on supposed secret unknowables, just plain incompetence seems the most likely explanation.

"Something I think most liberals don't understand is exactly how stupid many conservative leaders are." - Matt Yglesias

hi

(#7765)

we've got a few 'spartacus' variants 'round here and had a few back at tacitus.

did you go by 'sparticus' at the old site? If you were one of the variants would you mind telling me which one? i like to keep track of these things you see.

Can't remember

(#7768)

I know when I picked the name on Tacitus someone else already had it, so I used a different spelling but I can't remember which as it was sometime ago.

Update: perusing comments at Google cache I would say it was Sparticus but there was another guy with the name Spartikus, note the k - had Ken White confused no end I seem to remember.

"Something I think most liberals don't understand is exactly how stupid many conservative leaders are." - Matt Yglesias

Your memory is as bad as your logic, Spartikus - who

(#7770)

BTW is also back -- is from the great white north and has sekrits; you are from the Bronx and have secrettes. Very easy to to tell the two of you apart.

There are those, however, with poor memories who have trouble following threads... :)

Really?

(#7780)

Hadn't seen him.

Is it the same guy you think?

"Something I think most liberals don't understand is exactly how stupid many conservative leaders are." - Matt Yglesias

Yep. Three comments thus far.

(#7835)

don't mean to pick your brain

(#7771)

But were you fond of bringing up Tito of yugoslavia when discussing the USSR w. luis alegria and didya get into it w. KWhite about vietnam?

Thanks for the identification help. i like the site partly because i get a sense of/can keep track of different commenters' global perspectives.

and as long as we're asking Qs here, did you get tossed or just get sick of the old site (or both)?

Tossed

(#7778)

By the big cheese hisself!

Touched a nerve on religion I seem to remember, try to keep away from that subject now.

Don't remember the Tito stuff - not saying it didn't happen, but I do remember sparing with Ken over Vietnam in which I believe we basicaly fought to a draw.

"Something I think most liberals don't understand is exactly how stupid many conservative leaders are." - Matt Yglesias

thanks. you've been positively ID'd

(#7781)

welcome back. be nice. even to Ken (who's more fragile than he lets on).

Don't mistake marginally civil replies to stupid

(#7832)

donkey snarks from pouty kids as fragile. I do try to be resonably civil and I always try to respond to petticoat pettiness similar to your comment above as nicely as I can even when it takes effort to smile. However, to snarks, jibes, supercilious twitiness, condescension and similar annoyances I will always repond, you can count on it. It's genetic... :)

'marginally civil' is pretty apt

(#7875)

don't let a silly throw-away from me get under your skin... not my intention.

i know the above which is why i was encouraging sparticus to not provoke you + spice up the comments section... as you say that doesn't usually turn out good (and hasn't in the past). c.f. your feisty reply above.

You fantasize here constantly. Tha Army has its problems and

(#7772)

I don't hesitate to point them out but I know how it operates and the pattern shows a bubble or change of some sort, not incompetence. We'll see.

The bubble

(#7775)

as you call it was Franks immediate retirement and Sanchez's unjustified promotion - nobody wanted the job because the writing was on the wall to those in the know.

"Something I think most liberals don't understand is exactly how stupid many conservative leaders are." - Matt Yglesias

The bubble must be in your Hookah... I've long pointed out

(#7829)

that Franks probably made a deal with Rumsfeld "I'll get you Baghdad but I want to retire right after that."

You amd Pumpkin Ash -- a match made in heaven, BTW -- seem to be suggesting that he didn't know how bad it was going to be until he got to Baghdad. He should have, he'd been dealing with Wolfotwits and Feith for over a yerar -- he KNEW who was going to be calling the shots there before we even hit the Iraqi border.

What unjustified promotion of Sanchez?

Pfiffle and pure poppycock speculation.

(#7839)

You don't know if Franks "probably" made any such deal with Dumsfeld.

I agree with Sparty. Franks saw the Iraq train-wreck coming (just like Shinseki, and my neighbor who was a non-com medics clerk in Vietnam) as soon as Bremer announced the genius plan to disband Iraqi troops in May 2003.

[And my how you have changed your tune since the other day when you were claiming that Bremer (not Dummy,Rummy,Wolfy or Feithy) was calling the deBaathification/military cashiering shots on post-may 2003 Iraq.]

“It is only those who have neither fired a shot nor heard the shrieks and groans of the wounded who cry aloud for blood, more vengeance, more desolation. War is hell.”--William Tecumseh Sherman

I think you should take your poppy and

(#7899)

and your piffle and place them in your breadbox -- sideways -- lest they get lost.

Of course I don't know; that's why the word "probably" in in there, Doh Doh!

Good, if you and Sparty agree, then I know I'm probably correct.

What you apparently don't know is the the Army draft plan for the occupation suggested 400K. What neither of us knows is what happened and why -- but you keep on speculating.

You're also mistaken. Again. You do that a lot. No change on my part at all. You're trying a very childish and silly goalpost move. I said above that Wolfotwits and Feith were calling the shots in Baghdad and before during the planning phase. Shots. Generic; non specific. Calling shots does not mean total authority, just a lot of say and input.

The other day I specifically said that Bremer claimed responsibility for the dismissal of the Iraqi Army and Police, nothing more. I also said we didn't know if there was a higher direction on that or not -- you claimed Wolfotwits and numerous Rumsfeld phone calls, you have no proof other than "someone said." More speculation.

Get your act together. Commune with Sparti.

Another more likely interpretation:

(#7779)

General Franks and his top military ground commanders promptly bugged out of Iraq (scroll down to part 2, minute 0:10, and part 4, minute 3:30) as soon as they learned that the Bush's senior DoD policy designers Wolfowitz and Doug Feith (aka "the f***ing stupidest guy on the face of the earth"--Franks) were calling the shots(scroll down to part 2, minute 5:00->) in the "post-conflict" Iraq occupation/DeBaathification-Iraqi Army cashiering plan.

“It is only those who have neither fired a shot nor heard the shrieks and groans of the wounded who cry aloud for blood, more vengeance, more desolation. War is hell.”--William Tecumseh Sherman

Posting Rules re Profanity

(#8113)

Sorry, but even a quoted statement can violate the posting rules.

“Two clichés make us laugh but a hundred clichés move us, because we sense dimly that the clichés are talking among themselves, celebrating a reunion." - Umberto Eco

That's new....

(#8332)

...unless he has since edited it to put the *** in there.

In any case, and FTR, I do not consider profanity in quoted statements, so long as the quote is from a significant source and of enough length to provide proper context. This particular case was borderline, but I can think of cases where an exception is justified.

I do realize I'm outnumbered on this view.

I am not a pessimist. I am an incompetent optimist.

I do not consider profanity in quoted statements....

(#8350)

neither do I given the balance of your comment.

““I am sick and tired of people who say that if you debate and disagree with this administration, somehow you’re not patriotic. We need to stand up and say we’re Americans, and we have the right to debate and disagree with any administration!”” –H

I put in the asterisks

(#8360)

I'm perfectly willing to stand down on this one, but fear that we'd get a lotta abuse if we allowed profanity to sneak in that way.

Slippery slope! Slippery slope!!

“Two clichés make us laugh but a hundred clichés move us, because we sense dimly that the clichés are talking among themselves, celebrating a reunion." - Umberto Eco

You're

(#8363)

darned tootin'!

I had discovered a great secret. That everyone loves themselves more than they love anybody else. And if I wanted them to love me, I better be like THEM!... Ken Nordine

Well....

(#8542)

...that was always how I've applied it. I've even stated so explicitly a few times, over at the old site.

Crazy thing is, Woodward (and Bernstein) was involved then too: the word I was using was "ratfucking", which is what the CREEPers called their "tactics". The quote was from Donald Segretti, IIRC.

Today his heirs do 4:00 AM robo calling. The mentality has not changed.

Wikipedia considers the word to be slang, rather than "offensive profanity", a phrase they reserve for "f**k" or "f***ing" used by themselves. While researching this comment I also found out there is an Austrian village named like the second variant.

I am not a pessimist. I am an incompetent optimist.

Whoever redacted Frank's salty language,

(#9294)

it was not me.

“It is only those who have neither fired a shot nor heard the shrieks and groans of the wounded who cry aloud for blood, more vengeance, more desolation. War is hell.”--William Tecumseh Sherman

Harley

(#8361)

put those in there MA. After I brought it to his attention.

I had discovered a great secret. That everyone loves themselves more than they love anybody else. And if I wanted them to love me, I better be like THEM!... Ken Nordine

It is a direct quote. obviously

(#8527)

from Woodward's book , relating Franks' direct statement, as directly reproduced by Slate Mag.

That 'post rule' runs counter to normal rules of direct testimony and and literal transcription.

But whatever... It might be a good idea to post it clearly on the site, under 'Grandma's Pedantry' section.

“It is only those who have neither fired a shot nor heard the shrieks and groans of the wounded who cry aloud for blood, more vengeance, more desolation. War is hell.”--William Tecumseh Sherman

Please read

(#8531)
HankP's picture

this. I don't agree with all the policies, either, but if you want it changed post a diary and see if you can get the votes.

I blame it all on the Internet

Um,

(#8546)

I've stated my interpretation of this rule is that quotes are allowed so long as they are relevant and from a substantial enough source (meaning no games such as quoting a typical dKos commenter, which in practice would be the same as allowing profanity).

Under this interpretation, which hopefully is lying dormant among my Tacitus.org archives somewhere, quoting a major public official such as Pumpkin does would be allowed.

However, I consider Pumpkin's particular use on this ocassion to be rather borderline, because he was using the quote as an adjective, rather than as reference to the specific point he was making. The quote was also rather short, and length aids in characterizing the inclusion of a profanity as being in good faith. In other words, saying: Cheney said "f*** you" does not justify openly using the profanity (as I refrained from doing just now).

The point is to use it only when its absence would render weaken the sense of the original quote, and where the person being quoted is significant enough to be quoted fully, preferably a historical figure. For instance, Patton is a guy who, to be quoted at any length without wearing out the '*' key, would fit this, what I consider to be common sense, exception.

But you better be making a point about Patton or World War II if you are going to be quoting the guy. If you are taking it out of context, then you are just playing games.

SIGs would not be exempted under any circumstances.

I am not a pessimist. I am an incompetent optimist.

stick to your guns MA

(#8549)

PA's comment wasn't outside the bounds of normal civil conversation.

““I am sick and tired of people who say that if you debate and disagree with this administration, somehow you’re not patriotic. We need to stand up and say we’re Americans, and we have the right to debate and disagree with any administration!”” –H

Good on You!

(#8554)

I'm willing to respect MA's guns on this issue if we get further support. Frack off!

“Two clichés make us laugh but a hundred clichés move us, because we sense dimly that the clichés are talking among themselves, celebrating a reunion." - Umberto Eco

I'll abide

(#8574)
aireachail's picture

by whatever rules you bastiches come up with.

This will just make

(#8566)

it more ambiguous than it already is. And that's putting it mildy. But if you guys want make more work for yourselves... In the above example, as I see it, the poster can more easily bait the person he was replying to, so I would vote no (the poster in question was in rare form on Sunday and managed to get a few yellow cards even from his own team).

I had discovered a great secret. That everyone loves themselves more than they love anybody else. And if I wanted them to love me, I better be like THEM!... Ken Nordine

Yellow Cards, Heh

(#8570)

Currently chasing a job on a book written by Neal Pollack, Alternadad. In which he tries to convince his wife to replace Time Outs with a red card/yellow card disciplinary system. Heh.

“Two clichés make us laugh but a hundred clichés move us, because we sense dimly that the clichés are talking among themselves, celebrating a reunion." - Umberto Eco

If I misrepresented anything

(#8576)
HankP's picture

in the User FAQ please edit it to correct my mistakes.

I blame it all on the Internet

My contention is reproducing the unredacted Franks quote

(#9292)

is justified, not only for the reasons stated above in my first reply, but also because it is germane to the general subject/context running through the thread (namely, questions of who was making the bad policy decisions re early postwar Iraq, and questions of responsible parties' competence).

Franks, who was in charge of both the successful initial Afghanistan and Iraq military campaigns, is an emminently qualified source to be making this assessment re the former Asst Sec Def for Policy, and as such I would argue his quote deserves to be reproduced in its full clear uncensored saltiness. It is not inappropriately gratuitous or inflammatory. I'm with Woodward and Slate on this one.

“It is only those who have neither fired a shot nor heard the shrieks and groans of the wounded who cry aloud for blood, more vengeance, more desolation. War is hell.”--William Tecumseh Sherman

If the boss was any good

(#6840)

He would ask sufficient questions to get him the information he needed to make sucessful decisions.

Not getting the info is no excuse. He had the staff and resources to get the info if he cared to and was personally capable of doing so.

You have no idea what went on and what was discussed by

(#7065)

whom and neither do I.

You miss my point. If the briefers know what the boss wants to hear and they tailor their briefing correctly, they can slip stuff by him with no hard questions. i've seen smart Generals dazzled by good footwork.

If you believe that had you been there, you'd have asked the hard questions and gotten to the bottom of things -- or that Clinton would have under the same circumstances -- you're deluding yourself.

The only President in the last 100 years who knew enough to ask the right questions in the circumstances you describe was Eisenhower; none of the rest could have. They didn't know enough. Nor, I suspect, do you... :)

If Clinton or I didn't

(#7066)

it would be our fault. The boss is there to make good decisions period end of statement full stop alpha omega selah and that's all she wrote.

There's no excuse for bad decisions from the boss. If it was bad luck for you that you made a bad decision, tough bananas.

Here's my perspective. If I miss a court deadline and go in front of a judge and say "my paralegal gave me the wrong date" I'm gonna get a gavel in my un-sunshiney place and that's a natural fact. And so far as I know, "lawyer" is an easier job to get than "President of the United States," so I don't see why he gets to make excuses that aren't available to me.

What, specifically, are you calling bad decisions?

(#7101)

My life expectancy is not such

(#7141)

that I can undertake to fully answer this question.

I take it you're not going to give me credit for claiming the decision to invade. If you did, I'd say that was the biggest one. But I'll assume arguendo that the invasion of Iraq was like gravity or something, it just happened and then we go from there.

So let's start with the failure to concoct a plan--any plan!--for the post-conquest administration of Iraq. The executive who allowed that to happen didn't even have a moderately-educated view of things like Middle-Eastern politics or the history of limited warfare in the 20th century. If the level of knowledge engendering that decision is a result of inadequate briefings by the executive's staff, then the executive hired incompetents or charlatans to brief him and suffered those persons to remain his sole source of information while he undertook decisions with grave consequences for the world and even graver in American history.

After that, I'll go with dismissing the army, an act which virtually guaranteed at a single stroke that the occupation would require a minimum of 8-10 years to produce a successful result, which at a minimum is an Iraq capable of regional self-defense.

I think that's enough for a start.

Thanks. FWIW, I agree that the decision to invade Iraq when

(#7162)

and how it was done was not the best idea in town. I know why he did it when he did -- he figured that if he didn't get reelected, the nex Prez would be unlikely to do it. Still think he should've waited.

That was undoubtedly his decision and he is totally reponsible for it and he has not sluffed that in any way to my knowledge -- nor do I suggest anyone else is responsible for that.

Look at the rest though. I said ""I know the system and am willing to bet big money the boss was told what the briefers thought he wanted to hear."" You responded with "He would ask sufficient questions to get him the information he needed to make sucessful decisions. Not getting the info is no excuse. He had the staff and resources to get the info if he cared to and was personally capable of doing so."

Which seems disingenuous to me. A good briefer who really knows his subject; anticipates your questions and gives you answers that are credible will generally get what he wants approved -- I've seen too many high powered briefings where that's happended. You may say that if You or Clinton didn't discover that things were not as you assumed -- no one lied to you -- then it would be your fault. Well, yeah but that has nothing to do with the fact that you made a decision based on some bad assumprtions. Just means you're accountable after the fact. Which Bush is and which I'm not denying.

On the specifics, We do not know there was no plan. What we do absolutely know that if there was a plan, it was an Army plan -- that's their job. It is not DoD's job or that of the WH or NSC to give them a plan; it's up to the Army (Well, actually, CentCom, who in turn task ArCent, the Army component of Cent Com to actually do it). Thus, by default, we know if there was no plan the Army in the form of ArCent failed to produce one. Bush and Rumsfeld are home free on that; which has been my point for some years.

I agree that the dismissing of the Army and the Police -- which we do know happened -- was dumber than a box of rocks. What we don't know is who did it. Bremer and his State Department assigned Deputy have said it was their decision and they stand by it. That may or may not be true but at this point, that's all we know. So Bush and Rumsfeld -- and the Army -- are, as far as we now know, off the hook on that.

Got any more? Don't care about domestic stuff, just on Iraq.

'What we don't know is who did it' ??

(#7170)

You obviously did not watch Frontline's The Lost Year in Iraq on PBS a few days back.

Cashiering Iraq's Armed forces and Baath Party members was one of Bremer's first official duties when Bush-Rummy-Cheney replaced him for Jay Garner (who had insisted on keeping the Iraqi military intact) in early [Mission Accomplished] May 2003.

Your apologist tendencies for the Decider (the buck stops there) are quite remarkable and seemingly reflexive.

“It is only those who have neither fired a shot nor heard the shrieks and groans of the wounded who cry aloud for blood, more vengeance, more desolation. War is hell.”--William Tecumseh Sherman

Nope, don't watch TV at all. Er, you did note that I said

(#7171)

""Bremer and his State Department assigned Deputy have said it was their decision and they stand by it. That may or may not be true but at this point, that's all we know.""

You, as usual, make an incorrect assumption and follow it with an incorrect assertion. Keep up the good work.

Link

(#7173)

Here

No tv required...

“It is only those who have neither fired a shot nor heard the shrieks and groans of the wounded who cry aloud for blood, more vengeance, more desolation. War is hell.”--William Tecumseh Sherman

Nor do I waste time listening to the radio. Why are you

(#7208)

providing me a link that apparently will say what I said; Bremer has claimed responsibility for the decision...

I guess I should appreciate the fact that you agree with me and are providing corroboration for my statment.

Thanks.

Okay. to indulge you, I will cut it up and pre-chew it for you.

(#7416)

Just because I like you:

See Part 3 First days On the Job minute 2:00->onward where Dan Senor describes how Rumsfeld (aka "the 8000 mile screwdriver" so knicknamed by the frustrated Bremer at the time) was constantly on the phone micromanaging all Bremer's actions for at least the first month in Iraq.

Rummy-Bush's First two Marching Orders to Bremer
after they canned Gen Jay Garner and sent Bremer in on May 11 2003:

CPA Official Documents

Order 1. De-Ba`athification of Iraqi Society, 16 May 2003.

Order 2. Dissolution of Iraq Military Entities 23 May 2003.

So let's have no more of your 'unknowable-unknown' blame-shifting away from the Decider and Dumsfeld on the responsibility for these stupendously disasterous early Iraq decisions again.

“It is only those who have neither fired a shot nor heard the shrieks and groans of the wounded who cry aloud for blood, more vengeance, more desolation. War is hell.”--William Tecumseh Sherman

I appreciate the effort but I'm afraid it adds nothing new

(#7491)

to what I'd said. Bremer claims responisibility. Someone may or may not have told him to do that. If so, we don't know who originated the order.

Please note that I did NOT say it was unknowable. I said we don't know now -- I also said it would come out eventually. Also notice that I agree with you that they were bad decisons.

As, apparently, was mine to say anything about it in the first place...

Don't mean to rub your nose in it too much, but

(#7509)

From minute 5:00-> onward, of the above PBS part 3 video link Garner and a CIA officer "Charlie" (that is two people besides Bremer) together had meeting with Bremer to try dissuade him from implementing the Bush-Rummy admin's deBa'athafication order Bremer had brought with him on the plane from the US the day before. According to Garner, 'Freedom Medal' Bremer's final words were "Look. I have my orders. This is what I am doing" (minute ~5:50).

Predictably, Bremer has selective Alzheimer's disease about that meeting [minute 6:12] taking place. [I guess that must why Bush gave Bremer the Freedom Medal].

“It is only those who have neither fired a shot nor heard the shrieks and groans of the wounded who cry aloud for blood, more vengeance, more desolation. War is hell.”--William Tecumseh Sherman

You aren't rubbing my nose in anything, that is still no

(#7518)

change from what I've been saying here or at Tacitus for two years; Bremer claims responsibility; someone (who? Bush? Cheny? Rumsfeld? Armitage? Powell? Hadley? -- we don't know) may well have told him to do that.

I'll also say one more time -- it'll come out eventually.

No doubt they are looking for another Pfc "Bad Apple" to pin

(#7521)

the blame for CPA Orders 1&2 on even as we speak.

“It is only those who have neither fired a shot nor heard the shrieks and groans of the wounded who cry aloud for blood, more vengeance, more desolation. War is hell.”--William Tecumseh Sherman

That's just silly. NT

(#7578)

Thanks - sorry for the lengthy response

(#7270)

I'll start from the bottom with your "got any more" question. I have trouble thinking of any big strategic moves that we have made since April '03. Of course, not making a strategic move is a strategic move. And in this case, a big mistake. This thing has just steadily trended downward, and the most authoritative studies I've seen indicate that it was never heading in the other direction, scarcely for a minute. Something had to change, and it never did.

Second, all this sunshine that the Administration has been blowing up our patooties has never been useful if your time fram goes farther than about a week into the future. You can fool most of the people some of the time, etc., but if you want to make a near-generational commitment you are just going to have to level from the start. This applies double to the people of Iraq, who are the people who really have to be satisfied. As soon as the smart heads realized that we were going to have to be there close to a decade--and this realization had to have been made no later than the summer of '03, our analysts are plenty smart enough to discover the bleedin' obvious--our people and the Iraqi people needed to be sat down and told the truth. They weren't, so here we are only three years later with the job barely even begun, and patience is running out, both here and there.

But, having named a few specific bad decisions, I'd like to go back to what we were talking about previously, which is the responsibility for those decisions. And I just can't go with this idea of getting spun by the spinners. If that happened it's Bush's fault, 100%.

Sure, I understand what you're talking about re smart briefers who control the agenda and the questions, etc. It's just like walking into the stereo store with a good salesman in there. He knows more than I do about what I want, he can subtly lead me down the primrose path and I will leave not knowing I have been led.

But this is not about buying a stereo. This is about the President starting a war. Every expert in the United States would've been willing to talk to the President about that, and it is absolutely his responsibility and duty to pick the right ones, and in sufficient number, to get him the TRUTH and enough truth to make a good decision.

If I am making an important decision in a big case, my decision is about one millionth of one percent as important as the decision to go to war in Iraq, but I wouldn't even dream of making such a decision on the basis of the advice and briefing from one single person, unless (a) I thought that person was a better lawyer than me and (b) I just didn't have time to take better means of assuring myself of the truth.

If Bush didn't hear enough voices to allow himself to be snookered by a single briefer or briefing team, that is absolutely an unacceptable process for such a decision. He didn't have five minutes to decide, he had all the time he needed. I'll just refer you back to every word I wrote about this to start with: "If the boss, was any good, [h]e would ask sufficient questions to get him the information he needed to make sucessful decisions. Not getting the info is no excuse. He had the staff and resources to get the info if he cared to and was personally capable of doing so." To add one sentence, as the executive, he is as much responsible for how he gets info as for everything else.

Every one of the decisions I've mentioned--(1) the decision to invade, (2) the decision to sign off on the "plan" that was no plan, (3) the dismissal of the Army, (4) the non-decision decision to never make any major strategic change, and (5) the decision to communicate the war to the U.S. and Iraqi public via whitewash--were each and every one vital decisions to be made at the Presidential pay grade alone. Nor were any of those decisions ones that had to be made under time pressure so great as to prevent an adequate decisional process.* The President simply cannot lay off blame on his staff or briefers: it was his job to know enough to make a good decision and then to make that decision. If he doesn't know how to get info from his staff, then he's not an adequate executive.

Finally, one other thing, about the plan. I exaggerated a little bit when I said there was no plan at all, when what I really meant was that there was no plan that wasn't a joke at all. We did have a plan of some sorts, and apparently it was to turn the government of Iraq back over to its happy government functionairies and police, somehow magically purged of all Saddam and Baathist-sympathizers.

Although I was highly skeptical of invading Iraq from when the idea was first floated--probably late '01 although I can't remember definitely, at the very latest by the '02 "Axis of Evil" SOU--I didn't definitively come out against the idea until some point in January '03 when I spent a couple of hours deadlocked in Bay Area traffic listening to Colin Powell testify to a Senate committee about the post-war plan. Powell is a talented diplomat/politician, and used all of his talents during these two hours, but even he did not have enough in the bag to keep it from becoming painfully obvious by the end of the time period that he really had nothing of any substance to say at all, and this at a late enough date that our troops were poised to strike. If you thought that the Administration hung Powell out to dry for that UN WMDs presentation, that was nothing; at least he had something to say there. Those two hours before that Senate committee must've seemed like two years to Colin.

Ergo I say "no plan," effectively at least.

*Sure the army dismissal question had to be made promptly when the time came, but it was or should've been obvious from the minute we began planning that it was a crucial question that would have to be answered eventually, and in detail, since there were a number of security-related measures concerning whether and how to purge Baathists, retain command structure, etc. that needed to be planned out in advance. In fact, the failure to plan out those answers in advance may have forced the Administration to choose to simply dismiss the army as opposed to answering all those questions on the spot.

Welcome, thank you as well.

(#7309)

Starting with one of your points, I know Bush receiveed multiple briefing on options from several teams. You say Bush had a responsibility and duty to pick the right options and poll experts. I hear what you're saying but I'd also suggest that it doesn't work that way. The government of the US is firmly convinced it has enough in-house expertise for any eventuality. Note I said government and not "this administration." There are budget and turf issues involved in every agency of the government having to be believed it is infinitely competent in its area of expertise or operation. The President's hands are somewhat tied in this regard; by the fact I cited, by tradition and by law. Not least, there is the matter of security clearances...

Secondly, you might be able to identify the TRUTH accurately in all cases; not eveyone can do that and most of us who are fairly good at it can be had on occasion. I submit that you've probably been scammed at least a time or two -- either that or you never played for real high stakes. :)

On the decisons you cite:

The decision to invade was Presidential decision, no question.

The decision to sign off on the "plan" was not necessarily a Presidential decision -- G.H.W. Bush had absolutely no involvement at all in the Desert Shield / Desert Storm planning. My guess is that G.W. Bush was presented and approved only a very broad overview and that the final arbiter of more detailed planning was -- as the law states -- the Sec Def. The de jure and e facto appover of the plan was Commander, CentCom -- Tommy Franks. You may not agree with that; then you need to get Goldwater-Nichols rescinded. You can make the point that Clinton or Johnson would have insisted on getting into the nitty gritty of the plan -- and I rest my case...

I don't understand what you mean by the "dismissal of the Army?" I don't think the Army knows it was dismissed.

There has been no need for a strategic change, none. There has really been no need for an Operational change. At the Tactical level, there has been need for change and there have been two and I believe another is in process right now. Those changes were not publicly announced to avoid letting the opponent know. The replacement of Sanchez by Casey was a harbinger one such change; the replacement of Eaton by Petraus another and the next shift will be the third. Gotta watch close or you miss the subtle things about where troops are deployed and how they react to contact and what they do at night...

The decision to screw up the portrayal of the effort in public releases may be Bush's may not be, don't know, don't care. Nor do I think he much cares; you can say he should or must but I don't think he does. In any event I will certainly acknowledge they have done a pathetic job of it.

Not agreeing with much here

(#7327)

The President may see whomever he pleases, at least as far as American citizens go. I honestly don't recall ever hearing a story of an American being asked to consult the President and turning him down. Many Presidents have consulted with non-governmental types, and Bush is certainly among them. As in the news right now, when he would from time to time consult with (i.e., pander to) Haggard and a few other evangelical leaders, or last week in the news when he brought a bunch of talk radio types into the WH for a chat.

And you're right, if I'm the President I might gather info in my own way and still be wrong. But if I undertook a major policy initiative that was wrong-headed, it would be my fault. But I don't think that I, or most half-way capable people, would've been as wrong about a few of the important decisions as this President has been. To quote myself from earlier in the thread again, any executive who allowed us to invade Iraq without a serious occupation plan couldn't have had even "a moderately-educated view of things like Middle-Eastern politics or the history of limited warfare in the 20th century."

Of course, the Pentagon and Foggy Bottom make the plans, and it's not for the President to come in and say "Hey, whaddayou mean that Bravo Company of the 3rd Battalion's not rolling out til H + 12? This is unacceptable!" But it is for the President to look and see that the invasion part of the plan is the size of 20 telephone books while the occupation part of the plan could be stuck in the first-class mail for 37 cents (maybe 69). It's not that I'm saying that there were some mistakes in the occupation plan. I'm saying it virtually didn't exist! Nobody can sit at the top of the pyramid and get off the hook for that. That ain't about "nitty gritty," that's about broad outlines.

Eisenhower planned Overlord but I'd bet my bottom dollar that Churchill and Roosevelt had a good working knowledge of our objectives, and even sub-objectives. In fact, I know they did because a lot of that stuff got worked over to reach the right kind of political compromise and there's a record of it.

"Dismissal of the Army" I thought we had already been talking about. It's the Iraqi Army. I also have not heard about ours getting dismissed just yet.

Finally, I think I am going to pass on adorning your no-need-for-any-strategic-change and Bush-isn't-interested-in-how-the-war-gets-spun bits. I think I'll just let those nutty logrolls sit on the plate and let off their own distinctive aroma. Dig in!

Whew

(#7336)

I've been proven right. Because have Richard Perle and Ken Adelman ever been wrong?

From a Vanity Fair press release, via Atrios:

Perle tells Rose that, “at the end of the day, you have to hold the president responsible.... I don’t think he realized the extent of the opposition within his own administration, and the disloyalty.... [Bush] did not make decisions, in part because the machinery of government that he nominally ran was actually running him.”

Adelman tells Rose that when he wrote in 2002 that “liberating Iraq would be a cakewalk,” he “just presumed that what I considered to be the most competent national-security team since Truman was indeed going to be competent. They turned out to be among the most incompetent teams in the postwar era. Not only did each of them, individually, have enormous flaws, but together they were deadly, dysfunctional.”

Adelman also tells Rose that “the idea of using our power for moral good in the world” is dead, at least for a generation. After Iraq, he says, “it’s not going to sell.”

Constantly IMO, you just killed your own argument. NT

(#7351)

Yeah?

(#7366)

Your point is over my head.

If you're referring to "the government running him" or something along that line, would you care to explain how that is the mark of a successful executive? Or is it putting together the most incompetent national security team in the post-war era that Bush should put up on his Wall of Honor?

According to Ken

(#7379)

Bush gets maximum points simply for making the decision to stir up the ME hornets nest by invading Iraq. Everything else is mere detail and any mistakes made can always be offloaded onto subordinates, but the original decision is immaculate.

"Something I think most liberals don't understand is exactly how stupid many conservative leaders are." - Matt Yglesias

According to some, the moon is made of green cheese.

(#7394)

Allow me to correct some your cheesy misapprehensions.

Bush gets max points for doing something that badly needed doing and that his four predecessors had sluffed. +++++

Bush loses points for how and when he did it. ---

Score to date: ++

Moral of that; Doing something, even if it's wrong, is always preferable to doing nothing. YMMV.

Mistakes cannot be offloaded to subordinates -- with respect to reponsibility. Authority can be delegated, responsibility cannot be.

Incumbent with the acceptance of that authority is the obligation to do the job correctly. If that is not done; the delegator retains responsibility; the action agent inherits his own responsibility to that delegator to fix his shortfalls.

Overall responsibility never leaves the delegator.

Sorry, Sparty, no immaculate conception, no immaculate decision, no immaculate solutions -- life's messy that way. It was a good, not a great, decision, poorly executed. As I've often said, I wouldn't have done it that way. Biggest difference between you and I is that I can accept that something doesn't have to be done my way to work. Jury's stil out but I still think this'll work. You don't. We'll see.

Doing nothing

(#7563)

Wasn't an option post 9/11, thus Bush loses any points gained following the partial success in Afghanistan for the opportunity costs he squandered by doing the wrong thing in invading Iraq without much of a plan of what to do with it.

I feel confident in saying that a President Gore wouldn't have squandered those same post 9/11 opportunity costs. Afghanistan would have been done right and Iraq simply wouldn't have happened. A President Kerry would arguably have ensured that Iraq got done right to the best of this nations ability, something that clearly hasn't been the case under Bush. Under President Bush we got the worst of all options with his sole net success on your own scorecard being his original decision to effect regime change in Iraq in the 1st place. A decision which can only be defended by resorting to your 'back from the future' imaginings of how the ME might look 20 years from now given assumptions on progress that simply aren't in evidence on the ground today.

Life is indeed messy and it gets much messier than it need be when the wrong decisions are made without properly thinking through their implications.

"Something I think most liberals don't understand is exactly how stupid many conservative leaders are." - Matt Yglesias

Do you know there was no plan or do you just suspect that?

(#7576)

Since there has been no -- and hopefully for the nation, never will be a -- President Gore or President Kerry; you can be confident. I'm even more confident that no one can predict what they might have done had they had the opportunity.

Your last paragraph is correct yet you offer no evidence that wrong decisions were made, only your opinion that they were. Whether your opinion or mine is correct remains to be seen. Enjoy the wait...

I didn't claim there was NO plan

(#7587)

Doing nothing Wasn't an option post 9/11, thus Bush loses any points gained following the partial success in Afghanistan for the opportunity costs he squandered by doing the wrong thing in invading Iraq without much of a plan of what to do with it.

Subsequent events, ie. the quagmire that is Iraq and the publics low approval of it we are witnessing in realtime would tend to indicate that my confident assertions are demonstrably more accurate than your unknowable predictions that everything will be ok in 20 or 30 years.

Evidence? Evidence!

Wake up Ken.

"Something I think most liberals don't understand is exactly how stupid many conservative leaders are." - Matt Yglesias

You're too impatient; this isn't a soundbite thing :)

(#7643)

Not a quagmire, public approval is fickle and what we are witnessing in "realtime" (is there artificial time? I missed that...) are demonstrably more important to you than they are to me -- nothing more.

Those things are evidence of what you say they are, they are not evidence of a plan, lack of one or changes to one nor are they evidence that the invasion of Iraq was wrong. They are evidence that it hasn't been done at all well but nothing more than that.

I was awake before you were born; still am and probably will be for long enough to see your "confident assertions" exposed for impatience rampant. :)

You have been asleep since the invasion Ken

(#7655)

and dreaming!

"Something I think most liberals don't understand is exactly how stupid many conservative leaders are." - Matt Yglesias

No, not at all; wide awake, I only seem like I'm asleep

(#7678)

due to the glaze on my eyes from trading childish snarks here with the ignorant and logically impaired.

Do you have anything substantive to say; just to try something different?

Yeah indeed. You apparently missed the Kennedy and Johnson

(#7391)

administrations. Clinton, too...

My point -- the one that went over your head -- was that Perle is a jerk and dangerous to himself and others; Adelman is almost as bad. I wouldn't put any faith in anything either of them said. Never have. Thus, to cite them in support of your position is, to me to, show how invalid it is. :)

Oh

(#7393)

You kind of have a point, but you're forgetting the stopped-clock principle.

Big surprise that... :)

(#7352)

We do not know what the plan was. At least, I don't. We do not know if that plan was changed and, if so why that occurred. Without more knowledge, we'll just play word games.

You may well be right on Churchill and roosevelt, both were etail hounds -- see my Johnson / Clinton allegory above. No slam, some folks get down in thw weeds, some don't. I prefers the "don'ts" while you obviously prefer the intimatly involved. Different strokes.

Ah, the Iraqi Army. BIG mistake and I said so at the time; you may recall IUrving and I arguing it back and forth. Bremer has claimed full responsibility for that decision; whether that's true or not we don't know.

You may also recall I've been saying 2008 to moderate stability.

And that we have a bet... :)

Not necessary to get in the weeds

(#7370)

I never said it was. In fact, I wrote quite a bit about how whether there's a real plan for occupation or not is not "down in the weeds" (which you didn't respond to but instead just went ahead and said it was). Delegating planning to somebody else is normal. Never checking on their progress or the major parts of what they're planning to do is NOT acceptable when what they're doing is vital to your job.

Sorry, but this is nothing but a Bush-enabling excuse that wouldn't be accepted at any law firm or corporation that I have ever worked at and I'm not exaggerating when I say I couldn't have gotten away with it at my firm my first week out of law school. I am not by any means insisting on any particular style of management when I say that a boss is always responsible for the BIG details that are VITAL to the success of his greatest program. If he delegates those details, that's his prerogative, because the boss always can get the job done however he wants to. But getting the job done is the bottom line. If the boss delegates the crucial details to somebody who screws 'em up, he is 100% as responsible as if he had screwed 'em up himself.

If we are talking about "different strokes" then my stroke is that a boss is responsible for the outcome of his biggest initiatives, and your stroke is apparently that nothing is his fault so long as the actual work is delegated. And really, I know that sounds bad and I'm not generally in favor of posters putting words in each other's mouths, but if I said it wrong, please tell me which of those words you don't support.

The extent of knowledge you impute is emphatically down

(#7389)

in the weeds. We can disagree on that.

Superfluous of me to point out that the Executive branch of the US government and a major Combined Forces military operation are somewhat removed from a law firm or corporation but I'll just leave it here as an aside.

There is no excuse made or implied -- a statement of the reality of a situation that differs from someone's conception of what they believe should be the case is not an excuse, it's just a statement.

As to this: "If we are talking about "different strokes" then my stroke is that a boss is responsible for the outcome of his biggest initiatives, and your stroke is apparently that nothing is his fault so long as the actual work is delegated. And really, I know that sounds bad and I'm not generally in favor of posters putting words in each other's mouths, but if I said it wrong, please tell me which of those words you don't support.

I did not and do not say that nothing is his fault so long as the actual work is delegated; I do say and have always said that the end responsibility is his; he can and should delegate authority; he cannot delegate responsibility.

However, I further say that if the delegated authority is poorly or improperly exercised; then those who had that authority have a responsibility to him to correct their shortfalls. He has the option of accepting those shortfalls and requiring that they not be repeated or of relieving people who erred. He has chosen the former course; that is his right -- and I personally agrree with that selection. Many others disagree and that's alright...

Since in the case at hand, the ultimate employer of those in question are the American people, they who erred also have an obligation to us to correct said shortfalls. As I've said, they appear to be doing that and thrust of all my comments on this topic have been no more than that we should insure that correction continues and becomes embedded. Anyone who wants to read any domestic political point in this is sadly mistaken.

The organization in question was here long before Bush was born and will likely be here after he dies. It needs to do the best job it can...

Ken, here's the problem

(#7088)
HankP's picture

if the US was attacked by surprise and Bush had to come up with a response, some of these excuses might apply. But he chose to go to war, not under duress but on his own initiative. The bar for his responsibility in this case is much, much higher. To say that he didn't know or had to depend on the advice of others may be true true but is irrelevant. When you take the initiative in a case like this, the responsibility one takes on is much broader than someone who is thrust into the circumstance by events beyond their control.

I blame it all on the Internet

There's not a problem and they are not excuses.

(#7098)

At least, IMO -- you may differ, which is your right.

I don't think that whether he elected to go to war or was caught up in one has any bearing on having to rely on his experts. I do not see how the circumstances affect the fact.

The issue is not really that; the issue is that the Army was directed by the President to do something. Something that was emphatically in their field of expertise. The Army then proceeed to do it, as they are required to by by both tradition and law.

They did it -- but not very well. The reason for that shortfall was institutional and long standing in nature. If you wish to call that an excuse, you may; to me it isn't one, it's just a simple statment of fact.

As for the political decision to enter a war voluntarily, you are correct, no question. We had a chance to express our collective displeasure at that in November 2004. We did not -- you may have, many others agreed with you -- but a few more did not.

There is one factor I think you are not considering.

(#7179)

The decision to go to war was made at least two years before we actually went to war. Secretary Rumsfeld most certainly had the time, had he had the intention, of beginning institutional change which would have made the Army more effective -- or, at least, of creating some model units the rest of the Army could begin to learn from.

He did not; in fact, he actively moved against this process in pursuit of his more technological approach (which, it must be admitted, was very effective in the fighting in Afghanistan).

This, in my mind, increases the culpability of those at the top significantly.

"In the very long run, we are all dead." -- John Maynard Keynes, 1st Baron Keynes

Not really, I'm the guy who's been saying all along that

(#7207)

Bush announced that we were going to Iraq in January of 2002. It appears that DoD -- and thus CentCom and the Army were already working on the plans at that time. Since the Army and ArCent are responsible for the plans, they are the ones who failed to adapt.

Rumsfeld's proposed changes to the Army were in process but, if you'll recall, many of them were blocked and stalled by both the Army and by Congress -- all for 'protect the institution' and 'protect the pork' reasons.

Too many are reading this as trying to shift blame from Bush -- who erred -- and Rumsfeld -- who also erred -- to the Army -- which also erred. Not so; I'm merely saying that there were errors by many at all levels and that in order to preclude a recurrence, all the errors should be identified, acknowledged and rectified. Many seem to believe that the post attack planning was a WH or DoD job; it was not, it was the Army's job -- as was the execution.

I have also pointed out that we do not know all the story and that it appears there was a major shift in the after attack plan after Baghdad was siezed. If that occurred, it created its own set of problems. Lacking full knowledge, all we can go on is what we know.

Responsibility for errors should be placed on the level at which failure occurred. Politically, you can wrap all that up and say the President was responsible. I understand that and have no problem with it.

Practically, that will not fix the problems, it allows the organizations that executed the Presidents strategy (whether flawed or not, a seperate issue about which I have long stated disagreement) in an inefective manner to avoid being tabbed for their failures; that is potentially dangerous and I do object to that.

I have also specifically said that the Army is rectifying its errors and seems to be doing a good job of it. They have not "admitted" many errors, that's not the Army way -- but they are fixing them.

My concern is that they do not backslide and revert to the "We only fight big wars, we do not do occupation, nation building or counterinsurgency" mantra. The politicians and the media rightly took blame for their failings in Viet Nam -- the Army, outside the profession, largely got a bye on theirs and that allowed them to sluff and go into the "big war" routine. That should not happen again, that's all there is to it.

Post-attack planning

(#7275)

Many seem to believe that the post attack planning was a WH or DoD job

I have a hard time believing that it would not be a WH job, as post-attack planning would involve persons from State (who know Iraq), the Army (who know occupation), a newly-created civilian occupation bureaucracy (who know, presumably, how to run a country), and the White House (who know what they want Iraq to look like and are the only possible coordinating agency).

Certainly, State raiseed these concerns, suggested solutions, and were shunted aside. At that point, it's the White House's fault.

"In the very long run, we are all dead." -- John Maynard Keynes, 1st Baron Keynes

It is not a WH job, the WH doesn't do that kind of stuff.

(#7298)

They appoint an Executive Agency, responsible for pulling all the various players together. In the case of Katrina; DHS was that agency and they tasked FEMA to actually run the effort and do the coordination. FEMA is supposed to get everyone to play nice and the WH only intervenes (as it did, if belatedly) if FEMA drops the ball

In the case of Iraq, DoD was the Executive Agency and they tasked CentCom to do the actual plan and get all the players on the same sheet of music.

The NSC is supposed to broadly oversee the effort and make sure proper coordination occurs, no more.

That "oversee" effort is complicated by the fact that in the case of Iraq, you had two massive egos, Rumsfeld and Powell; neither of whom was going to be intimidated by the other or by Rice, Cheney or even Bush. You cannot discount the personality problem.

You see it every day at your School, I'm sure -- and you also see bureaucratic turf (and budget) battles between your School and others in the District -- same thing occurs in DC except that it is for higher stakes and thus is far more vicious.

To prove this, consider that DoD, the Exec Agency had Garner to run the occupation -- and he got suddenly replaced by Bremer. That was a power play by someone that apparently required Rice's involvement on a weekend and took a personal decision form Bush to resolve -- as did Rumsfeld's earlier insistence on 90K troops versus Frank's request for 250K -- that went to Bush; Franks won. The WH plays umpire and that rarely.

That link refers to a British assessment that may or may not be accurate. Not only State but the CIA and the Army itself raised post attack concerns long before 2003. They were shunted aside by someone; from CentCom to DoD to the WH -- what we don't know and will not for some time is who at what level shunted what -- and for what reason; or if said reason(s)were reasonable given the knowledge available at the time.

Bureaucracies have many faults -- one is the dispersal of authority and the use of committees which makes the fixing of responsibility incredibly difficult.

When starting to write this post,

(#7784)

I didn't know what your thesis was, of the ones you've advanced thus far:

Thesis (A): The snafu was essentially the fault of the Army -- it was given a task and didn't want to prepare for it, so it screwed it up.

Thesis (B): The snafu was essentially the fault of the DoD, which was the agency charged by the Executive to do the post-war planning.*

Thesis (C): The problem was very much a bureaucratic turf war between Rumsfeld and Powell. This makes the snafu, in order, (1) Rumsfeld's fault, (2) Powell's fault, and (3) Most certainly the President's fault, as handling such conflicts is precisely his job.

I honestly don't know what you're saying, except that whatever others say, they're generall wrong, because you bring out Theses (B) and (C) whenever someone mentions (A), (A) and (B) when I mention (C), and (A) and (C) (somehow) when someone brings up (B) -- and you are consistent in absolving Bush throughout.

I expect that all three of your theses are correct -- that the Army didn't want to do it, that CENTCOM didn't do a good job, and that Rumsfeld and Powell made sure that nothing good could possibly have come out of the process. What I don't get is why you seem to be so protective of the one officeholder who has tremendous authority over all three of these explanations.

*BTW, this makes it Bush's fault by definition, because having the DoD run a country for any length of time is stupid. We have a civilian bureaucracy for a reason, both because it's unreasonable to expect the Army to know how to run a country and because we don't really want them to anyway. That's why we have things like State and Commerce Departments.

"In the very long run, we are all dead." -- John Maynard Keynes, 1st Baron Keynes

Well, so much for my clarity..

(#7824)

Okay, once more, from the top (With notes added for the clarity unsure).

The President sets the overall strategy, high level -- "go to Iraq, depose SH, establish a new government." Getting into the details is not his job and is a very, very bad policy -- witness Johnson in Viet Nam.
I have stated again and again I agree that something needed to be done but this way and the timing were bad. No defense of Bush on that score.

The 4th ID was to attack to Kirkuk and Mosul as well as down to Tikrit. In the event, the Turks would not allow them passage -- even though over half the Divisions equipment had already offloaded in Turkish ports. We had to reload and go through the Suez Canal to Kuwait. If the attack on Iraq had taken place when originally desired, in the fall of 2002, the Turkish elections would not have occurred and the then serving governments promise of passage would have been honored. that would have changed many parameters in Iraq. The delay was due, I believe, to Bush acceding to Tony Blair's request to give the UN one more shot. Even though Bush believed it was a waste of time, he agreed; thus the delay. So you can blame Bush for a delay that badly affected the Operational Plan -- but he did it to allow more time for Diplomacy to work. You have fun sorting that one out...

Before I go on, let me make one thing clear -- Bush can delegate authority; he cannot delegate responsibility. He retains responsibility and I do not question that-- all I have ever suggested is that folks should understand that when they get the parameters wrong and the blame goes too high; the minions get to slide -- and they should not. I'm not defending Bush, I'm trying to point out that things like "...Most certainly the President's fault, as handling such conflicts is precisely his job." and "...this makes it Bush's fault by definition, because having the DoD run a country for any length of time is stupid." are not only often legally and practically incorrect (as are both those statements), they just don't show that the writer has really given the issue serious thought and seem to show he or she is just responding viscerally.

Now, on to your theses.

DoD was the Executive agent; all other Federal Agencies were responsible to DoD. DoD correctly told CentCom to develop the plan and gave guidance on force structure and numbers -- as they're supposed to. At least one Conflict (on troop strength) was resolved by Bush personally.
I have said that DoD erred -- and DoD to me automatically includes CentCom, a major subordinate Joint geographical command. To my knowledge they played with the TPFD and interfered in a few other things they should not have. An issue here is the "plan" * . This addresses your Thesis B; DoD was partly responsible for the subsequent errors

The Army and Marines went forth and did great things. They got to Baghdad even though the 4th ID did not get into the north through Turkey. After the seizure of Baghdad, the Army which had not trained for (NOT the same thing as not being prepared for, very different) occupation or nation building prepared to move out into the western desert. For some reason that was halted and an occupation effort begun. A few months later, that bloomed into an insurgency -- another thing for which the Army had not trained.
I have consistently said that as well; the Army did not do it's post attack jobs well because it had diligently and as a matter of policy eschewed those jobs for over 30 years -- longer than anyone serving in Iraq had been around. This addresses your Thesis A; the Army was partly responsible for the subsequent errors and that was primarily due to an institutional policy failure.

Then the decision was made by Bush himself to replace Garner, the DoD occupier with Bremer, the State occupier for reasons we do not know. This is one indicator of the tension between Powell and Rumsfeld; my suspicion is that Powell won a small battle on this. This tension was in no way significant but it did contribute to confusion if, as I suspect, Bremer got conflicting guidance from the two Secretaries.
I have not said that ""The problem was very much a bureaucratic turf war between Rumsfeld and Powell"" -- merely that said turf battle contributed to the problems. "Very much" makes it way, way stronger than it was. This addresses your Thesis C; the turf battle was partly but only in a very minor way responsible for the subsequent errors.

I have never tried to confuse anyone on these issues; I've always said there were Bush, Rumsfeld, DoD, CentCom, Army and Marine errors and that there was enough egg for a lot of faces. Nor have I swapped the issues about as you allege. since you say I have, I'm sure you can pull up a link or two to an example.

I think the problem is that you're trying to oversimplify something that is really incredibly complex. On that level, there is no one failure; a lot of synergistic things occur. Let me answer some specifics in your comment -- I've never said and do not believe the Army didn't want to prepare for the specific task; the Army had avoided training for the post attack tasks but that was a peace time bureaucratic ploy of long standing to avoid spending money on the training involved (which, believe it or not, done halfway right is quite costly compared to conventional combat training).

As I said above; the Rumsfeld - Powell disagreements were a minor annoyance, little more. Actually, the NSC is supposed to iron out those turf battles so the President (whoever he or she is at the time) can concentrate on big picture stuff. Neither Rice nor Cheney was going to buffalo Powell or Rumsfeld; I doubt even Bush would have. Still, if you want to hang that on Bush, go for it -- just remember that it was no more than a minor annoyance and added detriment of small overall impact and that it pertained mostly to Bremer...

Then you get reasonable and accurate; "I expect that all three of your theses are correct...". They are and they are not mutually exclusive. You are correct in saying that one office holder has tremendous authority -- actually, within constraints of a lot of arcane and inane laws, almost total authority -- over all three of the institutions involved. Not the explanations, or really the actions (or lack thereof); the institutions that are responsible for the actions he controls -- but once those actions start, they're almost on automatic pilot. I do not think you realize how very large, cumbersome and bureaucratic your government is. Once it gets moving it is exceedingly hard to turn, much less stop.

Your asterisk item says having DoD run the country for some time is stupid. You're entitled to your opinion. I suggest you review the history of who was in charge of the occupation of Germany and of Japan and for how long after the war that remained true. The other Departments were there and then -- and are now in Iraq -- all represented in large numbers; they were just subordinate to DoD initially. In Iraq, when Powell got Negroponte appointed there, the responsibility in Iraq chopped to State because Iraq had conducted elections, had a government and was no longer "occupied" -- we are now "guests" just as we are in Germany (post 1955), Japan (post 1952) and Korea.

* The Plan. What was it? Several knowledgeable sources, not least A Pumpkin Ash link, say Franks told the Troops they'd be going back the States quickly except for about 30K to distant bases in country. Was there a plan to leave quickly that got changed due to circumstances we aren't aware of? Dunno. The actions of the troops in Iraq in May and June indicate that might have been true. Was there no plan at all. Popular concept but doesn't track logically with an Army and a DoD that tends to overplan, it's out of character. The truth at this point is that we do not know. Thus, the responsibility for the apparent planning flaws can't really be allocated yet; not accurately, anyway.

The truth is

(#7864)

You are wilfully ignoring the patently obvious.

"Something I think most liberals don't understand is exactly how stupid many conservative leaders are." - Matt Yglesias

here we go....

(#7880)

nt

Your version of the truth is patently silly. You're willing

(#7883)

to intrude with idle snark which is at best impolite and childish but that it seems is your preferred M.O.

The only thing I'm wilfully ignoring is the fact that you consistently butt in with one liners of no logical merit. I generally overlook that and I'm still talking politely to you

I would however, suggest that if you have a substantive comment, you should make it -- if you're going to just jack your jaw with idle sniping; get yourself a life; go out, have fun. Get a girl. Get a guy. Get both. Get a beer. Get all three. Grow up and get real... :)

Not really

(#7897)

My version is based on the interpretation of publicly available sources of information in realtime and is not tied to the smoke and mirrors of second and third hand opinions of persons with motivations unknown, unknowable secret evidence that may or may not be revealed in the fullness of time or a timetable that leaves future historians as the final arbiters of the truth about matters the country needs to get right NOW - today.

"Something I think most liberals don't understand is exactly how stupid many conservative leaders are." - Matt Yglesias

Your version - and it is a version - is based on the same

(#7920)

information sources that I and many others use, no more and no less. you are entitled to draw the conclsions you wish from tha infoprmation. I suggest to you that others are entitled to draw their own conclusions and versions as well.

I may not agree with your opinions but I do not denigrate them.

You may think that it's wrong to wait on "a timetable that leaves future historians as the final arbiters of the truth about matters the country needs to get right NOW - today."

That, too is your prerogative. FWIW, I think you're going to have to wait. Sorry.

Okay, I fully understand your thesis.

(#8081)

I disagree very strongly with the conclusions you are drawing from your analysis, but I think the analysis is essentially sound.

It comes down to whether, in a post-Katrina world, one considers the Bush Administration to be basically competent and engaged or incompetent and disinterested in governance.

"In the very long run, we are all dead." -- John Maynard Keynes, 1st Baron Keynes

This administration is little less competent than the two that

(#8099)

preceded it. It's just absolutely pathetic at getting its message out and at PR in general -- I suspect that is something "It"(Read GWB) doesn't care much about. You can say he / it should -- and I'd agree -- but I don't think he cares what you and I think on a grand scale.

There is also the absolute fact, too often overlooked, that the bloated thing in Washington we call a government is approaching critical mass (in every sense of the phrase); if the unplanned and chaotic growth and the attempts to pander to everyone continue, it will soon reach a point of significant inability to do its job.

If it hasn't already...

I can imagine no Democratic Presidency

(#8105)

that could possibly survive BOTH being in office for the worst foreign sponsored attack on US soil and then following that up by presiding over the most astonishing failure of military planning in our history?

What gives?

"Something I think most liberals don't understand is exactly how stupid many conservative leaders are." - Matt Yglesias

My guess is that the vast unwashed sense that the

(#8134)

Democratic party has lost its way or is in internal conflict. They know the Republican party has done the same but on balance believe the Republicans are just a tad closer to their values than are the Democrats.

I hear a lot of my mantra, "A pox on both their houses." I also hear a wish for a divided government when I travel -- but that is caveated in many places by a distrust of excessively left leaning candidates (in the South) or of excessively consrvative ones (in OR, WA, DC and many big cities). There are firm supporters of both parties but the majority of folks to whom I've talked in the last few years don't trust either party, know that power corrupts but are unwilling to take a leap to the other (or either) extreme.

Like it or not; the polity seems to me to be moderate and centrist. It doesn't buy VRWC foolishness or the religious right's ideas, not at all -- but it also doesn't like a lot of progressive values and it leans just ever so slightly, very slightly, to the right.

Pure guess and gut sensing, no way to tie it down that I know...

You, BTW are correct on both failings but I think the attack on US soil is viewed by most as, while not inevitable, a result of many policy failings by both parties over the past 30 years or so and as something that slipped in under the radar and that the party in charge at the time is really immaterial to that.

I think your word "astonishing" is the key to the second failing. Much of what's happened in Iraq is viewed as odd to say the least, information has been sketchy and a lot of folks hear from the troops there and that information is at odds with the MSM reports (LINK). Thus, they are unsure -- but are willing to give the government a break (not this administration, the US government; only the 10% or so that are political junkies key everything to the Admin of the day) until more clarity is gained. Same thing happened in Viet Nam; Congress really turned before the majority of Americans did.

The media is in the tank.

(#8145)

-nt-

"In the very long run, we are all dead." -- John Maynard Keynes, 1st Baron Keynes

Have been for years; sniffing all that gasoline makes them

(#8152)

totally clueless...

Disagree on both points

(#8144)

This administration is fantastically incompetent and much better at PR than either of the two Administrations previous, in my opinion. The reason it looks a little worse than the others is due to its PR excellence.

Bush and the Republican Noise Machine own the Traditional Media; it was Katrina which finally broke the surface.

"In the very long run, we are all dead." -- John Maynard Keynes, 1st Baron Keynes

We can disagree on both the ability of this admin at

(#8150)

PR and at the "ownership" of the media.

We can slo disagree on Katrina. Having worked disaster relief for five hurricanes and having since retirement lived through five more here in Florida; you and many others may think Katrina was a total foul up. It wasn't. Things went wrong but compared to, say, Andrew, it was well done indeed.

That does not excuse Brown, who's an idiot, or the DHS for ignoring FEMA -- or FEMA proper for being overlly bureaucratic -- but when you look at the magnitude of what happened, the incompetence at City, State and Federal level, all things considered it wasn't nearly as bad as TV made it look.

Fall 2002

(#8093)

I think we covered this ground at the old site, and I'm certainly not a military analyst, but I don't think the force was ready to attack in Fall 2002. Much of it didn't get the order to deploy to the region until November/December. According to Global Security, logistics teams were still arriving in Turkey in advance of the rest of the 4th Infantry Division's equipment as late as February 2003.

So while an attack from the north may have changed the color of the occupation, the Turkish flip-flop would not have been avoided by kicking off OIF in the fall for the simple reason that the force wouldn't have been been there to kick it off.

The Troops weren't there because they didn't fly;

(#8094)

how much ground materiel was there...

Other than the 4th ID -- most of it. The Force wasn't "ready" only because of the decision to delay. Said delay being for a futile diplomatic ploy.

and so the blame shifting starts

(#7185)

because as your post read you are stating that it really wasn't Bush's fault...perhaps his administration but not really....... actually it was the military who made the SNAFU.

I guess you really don't support the troops afterall if you're that easy to put the blame of the entire utter fiasco on their porch.

Can't help but wonder why one calls the president the Commander-in-chief if when push comes to shove he is just a strawman and really can't be held accountable for anything because the poor dude has been misinformed by his handlers.

Oh well, I wonder when the next Carrier gets named if it will have enough room for "George W.-the buck never stops here, never said staying the course, staying the course- Bush" plaque.

------
"The reason for that shortfall was institutional and long standing in nature."

What a novelle way to put the blame on a previous presidency. So nice to see that you aren't dragging Clinton into it. Euh...oh I guess you just did.

Maybe it lost something in translation as you obviously

(#7203)

totally missed the points. I have specifically said Bush and Rumsfeld can properly be blamed for several things, I merely point out that the Army did not do what it should have done as well as it should have been able to.

I also will point out that I said the Army ignored the issues for 30 years -- that precedes Clinton.

Pay more attention.

Logic?

(#6650)

It seems fact-challenged.

This was Josh's old song too. We weren't violent enough.

Well, that may be true. But it is far from clear that it is so. Namely, it ignores the non-trivial detail that the administration of the occupation was a disaster from day one.

The first thing that never happened was a sense of order. The lootings, the electric grid (STILL not fixed), and all kinds of details big and small. Fantastic sums of money going to US contractors for jobs Iraqis could do at 1/10th the cost and without demanding elaborate security.

The second thing was that American violence was plentiful. There was certainly enough of it in quantity and there are a lot of dead Iraqis no matter who is doing the counting. However, it was unfocused and arbitrary to the point of randomness. Many people died at checkpoints for no reason, while bona fide bad guys roamed the streets. The lesson to any Iraqi was that we were clueless or careless or both. And neither the clueless nor the careless get respect, nor deserve it.

You will argue, as you have, that the Pentagon wasn't prepared. Well, that's only part of it. The administration wasn't prepared. In fact it was ideologically disinclined to be prepared. It excluded people with regional experience. It thumbed its nose at the State Department. It accepted no qualifying or critical voices. It's not that it didn't know better, it didn't care to know better. It made its own reality and drank its own koolaid.

Had the administration of Iraq been competent and rational, not to mention brilliant or forward thinking, and, if even then it would have failed, only then would I accept that the problem was lack of harshness. Since this was not the case, and not the case by a hundred country miles, the discussion is moot.

If you get the politics wrong the military can't fix that. They can support good politics, they can't reverse the effect of bad politics, no matter how many neighborhoods they turn to rubble.

I am not a pessimist. I am an incompetent optimist.

Certyainly; pure logic. Not fact challenged at all.

(#6655)

I agree that the occupation was bollixed from day one -- and that, BTW, is the fault of the Army probably as much or more as it is of the Admin.

Your next two paragraphs are absolutely true.

The third, less so. The Administration did not disregard people with Regional experience. The system disregarded people with Regional expereince. As you may recall, I've said here several times that DoD spends millions every year developing Foreign Area Specialists (I'll add now that so does State, I just hadn't mentioned them before) -- and then, when going in to a Foreign Area, totally ignoring those guys. Egos, not the Admin. Same thing happened in WW II, Korea, The Domincan Republic, Viet Nam and Somalia (and in Desert Storm). State and DoD (so the CIA but that's another story) are both equally bad about ignoring their specialists. Egos. Systemic problem (and one that should be fixed).

Well, of course the discussion is moot -- that's what I said in the first place.

'Had we leveled Sadr City early in 2003...powerful message' ???

(#6694)

Hmm. Some logic; major memory loss, more likely. Perhaps you have forgotten the Bush-MSM script: In 2003 the Shiites were officially our 'long-suffering-under-Saddam' Good Guy buddies in Iraq.

Destroying (doing a 'mega-Fallujah' on) the Shiite ghetto of Sadr City (population ~2.5 million--ie ~Chicago) "brick by brick" back then would have made oodles of sense--to anyone wanting to see the Shiite majority in Iraq explode and rise up against us en masse, and start killing US occupation forces a year sooner than they ultimately did.

Powerful message? You bet!

“It is only those who have neither fired a shot nor heard the shrieks and groans of the wounded who cry aloud for blood, more vengeance, more desolation. War is hell.”--William Tecumseh Sherman

Yep, powerful. No, I didn't forget. That foolishness was

(#6706)

part of the problem, no question. The bigger problem is that we were too nice about what we were doing, thus, the Iraqis do not feel as if they were defeated. If they did believe that they were, there would've been and would now be far less mayhem.

War is war; try to play nice and all you do is prolong the agony, that invariably kills more people over the long term. Witness Korea, Viet Nam and Iraq on that score. Short hard campaigns are less fatal and traumatizing in the end.

We didn't do it so we'll never know what would have happened if we had so there's little sense in arguing that. I'd suggest though that the Shiite majority had enough cause to rise up against after we abandoned them in 1991, since they did not over that, Sadr city wouldn't have been a problem of significant magnitude -- particularly if we'd scuffed up Moqtada on tha murder charge and turned over to the Iraqis. Sistani wasn't happy with him.

BTW, in case you aren't aware, there are a number of ways to "level" a city. Bombs and artillery are only one way. Here in the US, we call it "urban renewal..."

I read a similar sentiment in a letter to editor in Monday's WSJ

(#6739)

[edit: It was probably Saturday or Friday issue of WSJ LTE, come to think of it] Basically saying that if we only do some more Hiroshimas, Nagasakis and Dresdens on Iraq (98% of whose citizens had no issue or ill will with the US pre-invasion) everything will be just fine...in a half century or so.

Probably that LET was written by someone who holds stock in a nuclear/fire bomb making company...and not someone who had family/children killed in Hiroshima/Nagasaki/Dresden.

“It is only those who have neither fired a shot nor heard the shrieks and groans of the wounded who cry aloud for blood, more vengeance, more desolation. War is hell.”--William Tecumseh Sherman

More recent bad news from Baghdad

(#7480)

That does not seem to be penetrating the US public awareness:

US Central Command's "Iraq chaos gauge" is sliding deeper into red zone:

According to the New York Times, the "gauge" was shown as a slide at a classified briefing on October 18. (Click here to see the full slide, titled "Iraq: Indications and Warnings of Civil Conflict".)

Unfortunately for the benighted Iraqis, the gauge is moving steadily in the "wrong" direction: away from peace and into the "red zone" of chaos. So how is it that the Bush plan can be said to be working? Easy, if the plan is ... chaos.

Baghdad is Surrounded:

Don Rumsfeld is not a good leader. In fact, he is a very bad leader. Leadership is predicated on three basic factors: Strong moral character, sound judgment, and the ability to learn from one’s mistakes. None of these apply to Rumsfeld. As a result, every major decision that has been made in Iraq has been wrong and has cost the lives of countless Iraqis and American servicemen. This pattern will undoubtedly continue as long as Rumsfeld is the Secretary of Defense.

Here’s a simple test: Name one part of the occupation of Iraq which has succeeded?

Security? Reconstruction? De-Ba’athification? Dismantling the Iraqi military? Protecting Saddam’s ammo-dumps? Stopping the looting? Body armor? Coalition government? Abu Ghraib? Falluja? Even oil production has been slashed in half.

and further down:

For American troops in Iraq, there is a worse scenario than chaos; that is defeat. Patrick Cockburn’s 11-1-06 article "Baghdad is under Siege" in the UK Independent provides the chilling details of an armed Iraqi resistance which has now cut off supply lines to the capital and threatens to make America’s ongoing occupation impossible. Cockburn says:

"Sunni insurgents have cut the roads linking the city to the rest of Iraq. The country is being partitioned as militiamen fight bloody battles for control of towns and villages north and south of the capital….The country has taken another lurch towards disintegration. Well armed Sunni tribes now largely surround Baghdad and are fighting Shia militias to complete the encirclement. The Sunnis insurgents seem to be following a plan to control all approaches to Baghdad."

Baghdad is surrounded and the predicament for American troops is increasingly tenuous. The battle is being lost on all fronts. So, what is Secretary Rumsfeld’s response to these new and urgent developments?


“It is only those who have neither fired a shot nor heard the shrieks and groans of the wounded who cry aloud for blood, more vengeance, more desolation. War is hell.”--William Tecumseh Sherman

Probably, like the rest of us, to laugh at Cockburn. NT

(#7486)

Or at least form the foolish Jack-O-lantern grin that Rummy

(#7493)

always makes when he is dissembling or outright deceiving.

“It is only those who have neither fired a shot nor heard the shrieks and groans of the wounded who cry aloud for blood, more vengeance, more desolation. War is hell.”--William Tecumseh Sherman

PA

(#7785)

# 7779 is a posting violation. I didn't reply to it directly so you could still edit it. There's a good chap!!!

I had discovered a great secret. That everyone loves themselves more than they love anybody else. And if I wanted them to love me, I better be like THEM!... Ken Nordine

Harley, MA, Mac

(#8095)

a.k.a. the troika. Did you see post #7779? Just Curious. I know, I know, I'm such a tattletale. My bad etc.

I had discovered a great secret. That everyone loves themselves more than they love anybody else. And if I wanted them to love me, I better be like THEM!... Ken Nordine