Handicapping Immortality: 2010 Edition


The vote for the 2010 Baseball Hall of Fame entering class will be announced on January 6th, 2010: the complete list of candidates with lifetime stats can be found here. As I've gone over the credentials of many on the ballot in prior years, I'm going to keep it short this time:

Probably In (and should be):

Andre Dawson
Bert Blyleven
Roberto Alomar

Should Be In, But Probably Won't Be:

Barry Larkin
Tim Raines
Edgar Martinez
Allen Trammell
Lee Smith

Sui Generis (at least until Barry, Roger, and Sammy come along)

Mark McGwire

Borderline, May Get In Through Veterans Committee Eventually:

Jack Morris
Dave Parker
Don Mattingly
Andres Galarraga
Fred McGriff
Dale Murphy
Harold Baines

Ain't Happening:

Mike Jackson
Ellis Burks
Pat Hentgen
Robin Ventura
Kevin Appier
Eric Karros
Ray Lankford
Shane Reynolds
David Segui
Todd Zeile

Dawson is on the razor's edge: he's got several years left on the ballot, and might end up stagnating this year, and Larkin is actually good enough to deserve a serious first ballot run.

The floor is open for discussion.

--

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