Thoughts on Egypt’s Constitutional Referendum

This post is in large measure a summary of yesterday's discussion hosted by Tamara Cofman Wittes, Director at the Saban Center for Middle East Policy, with Khaled Elgindy, a fellow at the Saban Center, and Shadi Hamid, Director of Research at Brookings Doha. I am indebted to the Brookings Institution for much of what follows but my own opinions are injected along the way.

 

What sort of government is created with this constitution? The House of Representatives and a Senate called the Shura Council constitute a bicameral parliament to act as a check on the powers of the president. The president appoints the prime minister as a proxy. Therefore the president has overweening power, as it was in the evil days of Mubarak.

 

There is a judiciary but it has little power to challenge the president and is deeply conservative. With the advent of shari'a law as the basis for the constitution, Al Azhar University becomes the ulama, with the unprecedented and vaguely defined power to review legislation, as described in Article 4 of the new constitution.

 

This constitution is stillborn. For all its windy trash about political and partisan plurality, the rule of law, respect to human rights, guarantee of rights and freedoms, peaceful rotation of power, etc. --the Egyptian constitution hasn't even defined the electoral process. It exempts the military from any oversight. It has created a religious state for all intents and purposes.

 

This constitution won't last more than a few years. The current referendum isn't about constitution: it is a plebiscite on Mohamed Mursi.  America might not have a large role to play in all this but mostly we ought to hold true to democratic ideals and not doing our usual Deals with Devils We Know.

 

On The Two State Fiction

So Abbas, as moderate a Palestinian as one could hope for, achieved at the UN global recognition that there is such a thing as a Palestinian people and Palestinian state. The victory was overwhelming; 138 to 9 and not even a reliable US ally like the UK, one of the 40 abstentions, was willing to vote against it.

 

The Republicans are falling over the cliff

HankP's picture

and it's not a fiscal cliff (which is actually more like a gradual downhill stroll) but a political one. As Wags pointed out and linked here, suddenly the GOP is unwilling to actually say what they want to cut as far as entitlements are concerned. They basically want Democrats and the White House to propose both sides of an agreement, then decide whether they're willing to go along with it.

 

The Greatest Rock and Roll Band in the World turns 50

HankP's picture

Quite a milestone, and really who in the 60s thought that any band would make it so long - especially one with their (well deserved) reputation.

 

Now I'm sure there will be naysayers here, and so let's make some concessions. Yes, they look like not especially well preserved mummies. Yes, they aren't at the forefront of popular music, and haven't been for the past 30 years. While they are still recording it's clear that their best work was in the late 60s and early 70s, and since then they've released more average albums than good ones.

How Private Equity Killed the Twinkie

HankP's picture

While Mitt Romney has (hopefully) moved off the national stage, despised by his erstwhile supporters, it's important not to forget what we learned during the campaign - specifically about how Bain Capital, and private equity in general, works. We have a great example of that in the bankruptcy and dissolution of Hostess (formerly known as Interstate Bakeries), maker of Twinkies and other snack foods.

 

How to Go Over the Cliff W/out Losing Your Mind

Obama just won an electoral victory bigger than any Republican has won since 1988. Last year he gave the GOP an all-spending-cuts-and-no-tax-increases deal on the deficit/debt. The president likely has a mandate to raise taxes on the rich, but he wasn't re-elected to raise taxes on anyone else or drastically cut spending. He was re-elected to make the economy work for more people than it is now. 

 

Given that context, here's a deal I won't scream bloody murder over.

 

What Difference Would 50 Years Make?

HankP's picture

 

 

Not sure where I came across this picture on the internet, but it seemed so perfect it got me thinking - what differences would 50 years make in the birth of famous people from the past? I decided to move the people born in the 1890s and 1900s forward 50 years to the baby boom generation, and included a few that stretched the boundaries a bit. Here are my best guesses as to what would happen in this alternate reality, but please feel free to add your own.

 

. . . . .

Why Romney lost, and why we're lucky he did

It's one thing to use propaganda. All politicians spin, to greater or lesser extents.

The Republican Ragnarok

Donald Sensing pretty much says it all at: http://senseofevents.blogspot.ca/2012/11/the-permanent-sunset-of-republican.html

 

"The short answer: the 2012 election forms a Rubicon that, now having been crossed, this country will never cross back. Forget all the pundit talk (like Ed Rollins this morning on Fox) that elections go through cycles and this one was just another example. Forget the mid-terms of 2010. Forget the Tea party; it's finished forever.

 

Where do the GOP and Obama go from here? [Update 2]

Bird Dog's picture

The flippant answer is that I really don't know when it comes to the GOP, but I know where it should go, and part of it has to do with immigration reform. A bad decision was made by GOP hardliners in 2006 and we've been paying for it ever since.

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