Popular vote demographics

Submitted by brendanm98 on Wed, 08/29/2012 - 12:56pm

This is a short and simple illustration of how voter demographics could influence the 2012 presidential popular vote. Of course the state-by-state polls are more relevant to assessing the likely outcome; for example, Nate Silver of 538 currently has it as Obama 290-240, with a winning probability of 69-31 but barely carrying the popular vote by 50.6-48.2. 

 

Nobody Born After 1935 Has Walked On The Moon

Submitted by M Aurelius on Sun, 08/26/2012 - 10:55pm

Yes kids, that means nobody born since the nineteen thirties.

With that in mind, consider the string of space exploration events that have happened (and that nobody has bothered to diary about), in the past few weeks:

 

Pussy Riot solidarity open thread

Bird Dog's picture
Submitted by Bird Dog on Tue, 08/21/2012 - 2:57pm

• Putin is afraid of loud, uppity girls. I doubt the ex-KGB leader will do it, but they should be pardoned from the politicized charges of hooliganism. The so-called compromise was two years of prison time. This should not stand.

When the facts change, sir, I change the planet I believe you come from. What do you do?

Bernard Guerrero's picture
Submitted by Bernard Guerrero on Sat, 08/18/2012 - 9:17pm

A repost, but I figure you people will appreciate this:

 

Why I'm not voting for Obama

stinerman's picture
Submitted by stinerman on Wed, 08/15/2012 - 6:58pm

It's really easy actually.  He has not represented my views sufficiently to have earned my vote.  If the Forvm faithful recall, I believe he should be impeached for failing to prosecute credible allegations of torture that occurred in the Bush administration.  Our treaty obligations require this, and he has chosen to ignore them.

 

For the record, I have been eligible to vote in 2 Presidential elections.  In 2004, I voted for Michael Badnarik (L), and in 2008 I voted for Ralph Nader (I).  I am currently undecided for 2012.

 

The Perseid Meteor Shower, 2012

Submitted by Traveller on Mon, 08/13/2012 - 1:47am

Some Meteors resemble a fireball  and are so called. They are like a Roman Candle Streaking across a quarter of the night sky sparking joyously as they go...the evening can be truly amazing during the yearly Perseid Meteor Shower.

But, I fear and fear admitting that last night was so good exactly because I did it alone and was by myself. I drove up the Angeles Crest Highway into the San Gabriel Mountains that ring  Los Angeles...the most active and newest mountain range in the world they say.
 

Paul Ryan for VP Open Thread

Submitted by catchy on Sat, 08/11/2012 - 12:30am

At least that's the rumor at HuffPo.

 

Why announce a VP selection on Saturday morning?

 

This is the guy whose name is synonymous with taking away my medicare and replacing it with an inadequate voucher for purchasing private health insurance. I'm very excited that he's been catapulted into the very top ranks of our political class at a young age.

 

At least Palin turned out to be mostly harmless. Not this guy.

Douchebag Romney, Far and Away the Biggest Liar in American Politics

Submitted by Jordan on Thu, 08/09/2012 - 5:52pm

As we all know, lying is reprehensible, and lying so as to misrepresent your political opponents is the very nadir of douchebaggery. 

 

How Romney Paid 0% in Income Taxes

Submitted by Jordan on Wed, 08/08/2012 - 12:15pm

TPM reader "MB" is a private equity professional and offers one plausible-sounding way in which Romney could have paid very low federal income tax rates (i.e. <10% per year) during the 2002-2009 period. 

 

Here's what I think

Bird Dog's picture
Submitted by Bird Dog on Wed, 08/08/2012 - 11:41am

Romney was the least worst out of the third-rate second team of candidates. And yet, according to Nate Silver, the GOP nominee is within 3% of the incumbent in the popular vote (although it looks much better for Obama in the Electoral College). Romney may be a nice guy with a nice family but it should be obvious to anyone that he's a brass-knuckled campaigner.

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